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June 26, 2024#FreeAssange Has Achieved Its PurposeToday Julian Assange arrived in Australia and met family and especially his wife Stella.biggerWhen the news came out yesterday that Julian Assange would sign a plea bargain on the U.S. controlled island of Saipan I was very skeptical. A plea bargain is where one is under pressure to lie, i.e. to admit a crime that wasn't done, to get out of prison. The whole thing smelled like a trap. I expected bad news to follow.But now he is free and I hope for him to have time to rest and to recuperate from the torture he was made to go through.I would still advise him to watch his back. The U.S. deep state is unlikely to ever forgive and forget.My thanks go out to everyone who kept the case alive and pushed it towards this positive outcome.Posted by b on June 26, 2024 at 13:55 UTC | Permalink
The Typical Home Is Selling For Less Than List Price, the First Time That Has Happened in Late Spring Since Start of PandemicThe typical U.S. home that sold during the four weeks ending June 23 sold for 0.3% less than its asking price. This marks the first time the typical home has sold under list price this time of year since the onset of the pandemic in 2020, when the housing market nearly ground to a halt. The typical home sold for exactly its list price one year ago, and roughly 2% above its list price two years ago.Additionally, just under two-thirds (32.3%) of U.S. homes sold over asking price during that period. That’s the lowest share of any late springtime since 2020, when the housing market had nearly ground to a halt with the onset of the pandemic, and down from 36% a year earlier. Nearly 7% of home sellers dropped their asking price, on average, the highest level since November 2022 and up from 4.7% a year ago. The likelihood of homes selling below asking price is rising because there’s more supply than demand, at least for certain types of homes in certain parts of the country. New listings are up 8.2% year over year nationwide, while pending home sales are down 4.3%, the biggest decline in four months. Most inventory is growing stale; over 60% of homes are listed for at least a month without going under contract. (...)
1 big thing: Labor scarcity is the new normalThe core economic fact of the 2010s was that there were not enough jobs. The key to understanding the economy of the 2020s is that there aren't enough workers.Why it matters: Labor shortages that first emerged in the pandemic aftermath are likely to stick around, a new report from the McKinsey Global Institute finds — along with the benefits it entails for workers, headaches it causes for employers, and strains on inflation and growth.Businesses will have to figure out how to generate the same output with fewer workers — a big risk for U.S. economic growth, if new technologies like generative AI don't deliver.It is part of a global phenomenon, the McKinsey researchers find, warning that tight labor markets around the world were not merely a blip but a long-term trend that will continue as the Baby Boom generation ages out of the workforce.What they're saying: "The surplus of unemployed people or job seekers has dwindled to historic lows across the global economy," Anu Madgavkar, co-author of the report, tells Axios."This is a profound change. It means all of the assumptions that businesses have made — that they could grow relatively easily by hiring people — are being challenged," Madgavkar adds.Where it stands: The U.S. job markets have loosened some since 2022, thanks to chilled demand and immigrants entering the workforce. But even so, the unemployment rate stands at 4%, lower than in any month from December 2000 through 2017.By the numbers: McKinsey found that the number of open jobs per available worker in the U.S. increased by more than seven times between 2010 and 2023.Without higher worker participation or efforts to boost productivity, "many advanced economies will struggle to exceed—or even match—the relatively muted economic growth of the past decade," the report warns.The intrigue: Tight labor markets mean workers can demand higher wages, particularly in sectors like health care, construction and leisure and hospitality where shortages are most acute."In a way, this ultimately forces businesses to focus on productivity to sustain higher wage costs," Madgavkar says. "If the output or the value added per worker goes up, it's possible to sustain that higher wage without feeling the pinch."What to watch: It's unclear what role generative AI will play in the years ahead to help boost productivity. But the technology might be embraced faster than would otherwise be the case with persistent worker shortages.McKinsey says AI adoption might create a new type of shortage: Routine work will be commoditized faster, while creative cognitive work will soar in demand — and skills will need to adjust."Can human beings make that leap? Some certainly can," Madgavkar says. "It boils down to employers and the education system to make that happen— that's really the big challenge going forward."
La solución de Gonzalo Bernardos para los pisos turísticos en España: "Obligar a los propietarios a pagar más impuestos""Llegamos tarde. Los ayuntamientos no han regulado adecuadamente las vivienda de uso turístico. Era muy fácil: poner un mínimo porcentaje en cada distrito de tal manera que no interrumpa la vida de la gente", ha asegurado.Gonzalo Bernardos, profesor de Economía en la Universidad de Barcelona, ha explicado en Más Vale Tarde cuál es la solución para los pisos turísticos en España tras la propuesta del alcalde de Barcelona de erradicar este tipo de alquiler en el 2029. Por otro lado, Almeida ha asegurado que va a experimentar en la capital con nuevas fórmulas como el 'coliving'."Llegamos tarde. Los ayuntamientos no han regulado adecuadamente las viviendas de uso turístico. Era muy fácil, vamos a poner un mínimo porcentaje en cada distrito de tal manera que no interrumpa la vida de la gente", ha asegurado el profesor.Por otro lado, también ha afirmado que otra de las medidas que se deberían haber implantado es "haber obligado a esas personas a pagar más impuestos" y "esos impuestos van al barrio". Para terminar, que todos los pisos turísticos se agrupen en un mismo edificio para evitar que los vecinos tengan que convivir con los turistas."Con todo esto hubiéramos conseguido una combinación muy buena entre los que quieren vivir en ese barrio como siempre y los que quieren coger la oferta turística, ya que el turismo es la principal actividad en España", ha concluido.
https://www.expansion.com/economia/2024/06/26/667b12bc468aebd22e8b459a.htmlSaludos.
Capítulo 1 - Teoría y aplicación[...]Esto nos proporciona un principio básico del enmarcado para cuando hay que discutir con el adversario: no utilices su lenguaje. Su lenguaje elige un marco, pero no será el marco que tú quieres.Pondré un ejemplo. El día que George W. Bush llegó a la Casa Blanca, empezó a salir de la Casa Blanca la expresión alivio fiscal. Y lo sigue haciendo: fue utilizada varias veces en el Discurso sobre el Estado de la Unión de ese año y reapareció continuamente en los discursos preelectorales cuatro años después.Pensemos en el enmarcado de alivio. Para que se produzca un alivio, ha tenido que haberle ocurrido a alguien antes algo adverso, un tipo de desgracia, y ha tenido que haber también alguien capaz de aliviar esa desgracia, y que por tanto viene a ser un héroe. Pero si hay gentes que intentan parar al héroe, esas gentes se convierten en villanos porque tratan de impedir el alivio.Cuando a la palabra fiscal se le añade alivio, el resultado es una metáfora: los impuestos son una desgracia; la persona que los suprime es un héroe, y quienquiera que intente frenarlo es un mal tipo. Esto es un marco. Se construye con ideas como desgracia y héroe. El lenguaje que evoca el marco sale de la Casa Blanca y se distribuye, a través de notas de prensa, a todas las emisoras de radio, a todos los canales de televisión, a todos los periódicos. Al cabo de poco tiempo, el The New York Times utilizará ya alivio fiscal. Y se hablará de ello no sólo en la Fox; también en la CNN y en la BBC, porque es el «Plan de alivio fiscal del Presidente». Y muy pronto los demócratas, tirando piedras contra su propio tejado, empezarán a utilizar también alivio fiscal.
A Málaga le está costando caro ser 'capital tecnológica': "Los precios ahora son demenciales"https://www.elconfidencial.com/tecnologia/2023-07-19/malaga-capital-tecnologica-vivienda-airbnb_3673324/El pasado verano, Francisco de la Torre, alcalde de la ciudad desde el año 2000, relacionó los problemas para encontrar vivienda con la falta de formación de los malagueños, algo que haría "estar en dificultades de encontrar unos sueldos dignos para poder estar en el nivel de consumo aceptable".