PPCC - Pisitófilos Creditófagos - HoT SuMMeR 2021

[R.G.C.I.M.]

Una idea al vuelo , nada mas:

El mundo anglosajón apuesta por estirar el CPI con el modelo imperial marítimo mediante el bloqueo de la expansión chiná maritima y su contención.
China para seguir su consolidación necesita seguir exportando y no aumentar su endeudamiento interno para no explotar su burbuja.
Tiene 2 vías:
Ruta de la seda y collar de perlas.
El imperio anglo bloquea el collar de perlas tanto a China como a la UE.
El mar es suyo. Si quieres exportar,  bajo nuestras condiciones.

Queda la ruta de la seda. Más cara en infraestructuras y en coste por km.  Y continental.
Retirada de Afganistán.  Apertura corredor euro asiático.

La están forzando a vía terrestre con mayor coste y riesgo. Paises enfrentados,  inestables, sin infraestructura...

Europa forzada también a apostar por collar de perlas.
O a través de Rusia,  o a través de un Oriente medio inestable y bajo controles diversos  (Irán,  siria, Turquía...)

China tampoco posee como UE de materia prima ni energía.

UE debe acercarse a Rusia y fortalecer ruta de la seda o aumentar su capacidad militar expedicionarios e inversión ultramarina por mar.

El sahel no se ha estabilizado.
Norte de África rearmandose.
Políticas inmigratorias en peligro.

Un lío.

No veo los próximos movimientos, pero todos l líos de los últimos años cobran mucho sentido.
Desde el brexit, hasta siria, primaveras árabes, Irán, Afganistán,  FED, Turquía,...
Las piezas encajan. Hasta cobra sentido lo de la guerra mundial soterrada y a cámara lenta del Papa.

Y EU se está rezagando y no veo claro que tenga una posición y acciones definidas.
Quiero confiar que en los próximos meses Europa forzadamente va a poner negro sobre blanco estrategias globales para posicionarse.
Si mo es así,  Hungría, Polonia, Eslovaquia, Noruega, Holanda etc van a hacer más por disolver el club que otra cosa.

Y España,  mejor ni hablamos. Estamos a pairo.  Como sociedad y en capacidad de influencia en esas decisiones críticas.

Esperar,  pero nos han comido los alfiles.
A ver si espabilamos.

Con la reacción de evwrgrande probablemente podamos ver más lejos y se podrán tomar decisiones más adecuadas.

Muy interesante todo, la verdad.
Pero vaya mierda de vida nos toca a los comparsas...

Ánimo y cuidense.

Sdd.

[sudden and sharp]

EL DESQUICIE.—

El modelo popularcapitalista está desquiciándonos.

Todo está hecho una 'mierda' —'Mierdismo'—, pero la inflación, los precios de la electricidad, los precios de los activos financieros —que ya no expresan el riesgo específico en cada operación financiera, sino el miedo cerval a todo lo demás—, las cotizaciones extravagantes de media docena de empresas norteamericanas, los supersalarios de los trabajadores-directivos y, sobre todo, la vivienda, son cosas que, sin embargo, están mucho más bonitas que un San Luis, "porque ya nos estamos rerrecuperando y, si tú eres un perdedor, es que algo habrás hecho mal".

Especialmente, están desquiciados los Fiscos occidentales, cuya impotencia —insuficiencia estructural crónica— clama al Cielo.


YA ESTÁ AQUÍ.—

No hay que olvidar que, en la República Popular China, la economía no es 'de mercado', sino 'de planificación central'. Con otras palabras, predomina la titularidad pública del Capital sobre la privada.

En el Caso Evergrande, hay que considerar, pues, que:
— la deuda interior está funcionalmente extinguida por confusión entre deudor y acreedor;
— la deuda exterior resultará parcialmente impagada, por lo que los inversores extranjeros y sus bancos tienen que provisionarla ya; y
— lo más importante, la quiebra es un proceso administrado por el Estado chino.

No es tan casual que, en la misma semana de la maduración final del Caso Evergrande, EEUU, con la ayuda de UK, se haya burlado de la UE-Francia en un contrato sobre armamento con Australia (submarinos para patrullar por el Océano Pacífico), parapetándose en la presunta hostilidad de la República Popular China.

En la gestión activa de la quiebra de Evergrande podría estar la respuesta china. Quizá, la acción ofensiva definitiva en el conflicto por la hegemonía económica mundial.

Hoy, en las Bolsas occidentales, oficialmente, está viviéndose el Efecto Evergrande.

Señores, ¡ya está aquí!

Hoy es un día histórico.

Tanto da...

    

[sudden and sharp]

 

[Derby]

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/the-global-housing-market-is-broken-and-its-dividing-entire-countries

The global housing market is broken, and it's dividing entire countries

NEW YORK (BLOOMBERG) - Soaring property prices are forcing people all over the world to abandon all hope of owning a home. The fallout is shaking governments of all political persuasions.

It's a phenomenon given wings by the Covid-19 pandemic. And it's not just buyers - rents are also soaring in many cities. The upshot is the perennial issue of housing costs has become one of acute housing inequality, and an entire generation is at risk of being left behind.

"We're witnessing sections of society being shut out of parts of our city because they can no longer afford apartments," Berlin Mayor Michael Mueller says. "That's the case in London, in Paris, in Rome, and now unfortunately increasingly in Berlin."

That exclusion is rapidly making housing a new fault line in politics, one with unpredictable repercussions. The leader of Germany's Ver.di union called rent the 21st century equivalent of the bread price, the historic trigger for social unrest.

Politicians are throwing all sorts of ideas at the problem, from rent caps to special taxes on landlords, nationalising private property or turning vacant offices into housing. Nowhere is there evidence of an easy or sustainable fix.

In South Korea, President Moon Jae-in's party took a drubbing in mayoral elections this year after failing to tackle a 90 per cent rise in the average price of an apartment in Seoul since he took office in May 2017. The leading opposition candidate for next year's presidential vote has warned of a potential housing market collapse as interest rates rise.

China has stepped up restrictions on the real-estate sector this year and speculation is mounting of a property tax to bring down prices. The cost of an apartment in Shenzhen, China's answer to Silicon Valley, was equal to 43.5 times a resident's average salary as of July, a disparity that helps explain President Xi Jinping's drive for "common prosperity".

In Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has promised a two-year ban on foreign property buyers if re-elected.

The Covid-19 pandemic has stoked the global housing market to fresh records over the past 18 months through a confluence of ultra-low interest rates, a dearth of house production, shifts in family spending, and fewer homes being put up for sale. While that's a boon for existing owners, prospective buyers are finding it ever harder to gain entry.

What we're witnessing is "a major event that should not be shrugged off or ignored", Mr Don Layton, the former CEO of US mortgage giant Freddie Mac, wrote in a commentary for the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.

In the US, where nominal home prices are more than 30 per cent above their previous peaks in the mid-2000s, government policies aimed at improving affordability and promoting home ownership risk stoking prices, leaving first-time buyers further adrift, Mr Layton said.

The result, in America and elsewhere, is a widening generational gap between baby boomers, who are statistically more likely to own a home, and millennials and Gen Z - who are watching their dreams of buying one go up in smoke.

Existing housing debt may be sowing the seeds of the next economic crunch if borrowing costs start to rise. Mr Niraj Shah of Bloomberg Economics compiled a dashboard of countries most at threat of a real-estate bubble, and says risk gauges are "flashing warnings" at an intensity not seen since the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis.

In the search for solutions, governments must try and avoid penalising either renters or homeowners. It's an unenviable task.

Sweden's government collapsed in June after it proposed changes that would have abandoned traditional controls and allowed more rents to be set by the market.

In Berlin, an attempt to tame rent increases was overturned by a court. Campaigners have collected enough signatures to force a referendum on seizing property from large private landlords. The motion goes to a vote on Sept 26. The city government on Friday announced it'd buy nearly 15,000 apartments from two large corporate landlords for 2.46 billion euros (S$3.89 billion) to expand supply.

Mr Anthony Breach at the Centre for Cities think-tank has even made the case for a link between housing and Britain's 2016 vote to quit the European Union. Housing inequality, he concluded, is "scrambling our politics". As these stories from around the world show, that's a recipe for upheaval.

[panoli]

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/sep/20/eat-the-rich-why-millennials-and-generation-z-have-turned-their-backs-on-capitalism

Eat the rich! Why millennials and generation Z have turned their backs on capitalism
How anti-capitalism went mainstream.
 Illustration: Jacky Sheridan/The Guardian
Nearly eight out of 10 of young Britons blame capitalism for the housing crisis and two-thirds want to live under a socialist economic system. How did that happen?
Mon 20 Sep 2021 10.00 BST
The young are hungry and the rich are on the menu. This delicacy first appeared in the 18th century, when the philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau supposedly declared: “When the people shall have no more to eat, they will eat the rich!” But today this phrase is all over Twitter and other social media. On TikTok, viral videos feature fresh-faced youngsters menacingly raising their forks at anyone with cars that have start buttons or fridges that have water and ice dispensers.

So should the world’s billionaires – and fridge-owners – start sleeping with one eye open? Hardly. It’s clear that millennials (those born between the early 80s and the mid-90s) and zoomers (the following generation) are not really advocating violence. But it is also clear that this is more than just another viral meme.


The world’s most famous leftwing millennial, New York’s rebellious Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, neatly sums up the generation’s zeitgeist. If leftism often seems to be the preserve of socially awkward nerds – hi! – and shouty older white men, she is the totem of the cool kids who like their redistribution of wealth and power with a hefty side order of mainstream popular culture.

It doesn’t sit easily with some: when the congresswoman accepted a free invitation to the uber-exclusive Met Ball in a dress emblazoned with “Tax the rich”, even some leftists joined the right in puffed-up outrage. Whether you thought it was an audacious demand for the sickeningly rich to cough up at their own exclusive party – or a stunt compromised by taking place in a real-life version of The Hunger Games’s Capitol – it showed that elites can’t escape the young flexing their political muscles.

According to a report published in July by the rightwing thinktank the Institute for Economic Affairs (IEA), younger Britons have taken a decidedly leftwing turn. Nearly 80% blame capitalism for the housing crisis, while 75% believe the climate emergency is “specifically a capitalist problem” and 72% back sweeping nationalisation. All in all, 67% want to live under a socialist economic system.

With a seemingly hegemonic Tory party on a high after routing Corbynism, the IEA warned that the polling is a “wake-up call” for supporters of market capitalism. “The rejection of capitalism may be an abstract aspiration,” it says. “But so too was Brexit.” It’s a striking phenomenon on the other side of the Atlantic, too: a Harvard University study in 2016 found that more than 50% of young people in the heartland of laissez-faire economics reject capitalism, while a 2018 Gallup poll found that 45% of young Americans saw capitalism favourably, down from 68% in 2010.

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Jack Foster, a 33-year-old bank worker from Salford, shows how lived experience has fed this disillusionment with capitalism. After he dropped out of university and worked in a call centre – a “horrible job” – the financial crash shaped his political attitudes, as they did for much of his generation. But housing loomed particularly large. “I was renting, thinking: ‘How will I ever be able to afford a house?’” he says. “My mum was a cleaner, my dad was disabled, and the people I knew who could afford a house got help off their parents. It wasn’t a case of having a job and saving up; you had to inherit money.”

Dating apps are another, less formal way of seeing where the wind blows. The apps have increasingly become no-go zones for Tory supporters. Given Labour had a 43-point lead among the under-25s in the last election – unlike in 1983, when the Tories had a nine-point lead among our youngest voters – the dating pools of the youthful true blue have shrunk. “No Tories – it’s a deal breaker”, “Absolutely no Tories (the left are sexier anyway, facts)”, “Swipe right if you vote left” and “Just looking for someone to hold hands with at the revolution” adorn profiles on Tinder, Hinge and Bumble.

Many of the young have concluded that an economic strategy that penalises them, coupled with a “culture war” that denigrates many of their deeply held values, amounts to a Tory declaration of war on their generation. Anyone who buys into that is, therefore, deemed profoundly unsexy.

For the IEA’s Kristian Niemietz, this is partly down to a “reputational change” for socialism. Once associated with “fringe groups”, he thinks it is now more “a fashion statement, definitely on social media, where people construct a socialist persona which they use for image purposes”. Where he agrees with the left is that an epic housing crisis should receive much of the blame for its renewed attractiveness.

“Whether you ask free marketeers, conservatives, centrists, the centre-left or socialists, all believe the UK has a housing crisis, that it’s a massive problem, but all have different answers about where it comes from and what to do about it,” he says. “If people are getting ripped off and think the market is rigged against them, the one way people can react to that is to generalise: ‘This is what capitalism is like – what the market is like’, making them more sympathetic to socialist ideas.”

Rather than a ‘property-owning democracy’, Britain looks more like a landlord’s paradise.
Rather than a ‘property-owning democracy’, Britain looks more like a landlord’s paradise. Illustration: Jacky Sheridan/The Guardian
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In the 80s, Margaret Thatcher’s ideological mentor Keith Joseph described the push for homeownership as resuming “the forward march of embourgeoisement which went so far in Victorian times”. The great hope, for many Thatcherites, was that the “right to buy” would transform Labour-voting council tenants into Tory-supporting homeowners, a view later echoed by either David Cameron or George Osborne, one of whom Nick Clegg recalled objecting to building more social housing on the grounds that “it just creates Labour voters”.

But rather than the “property-owning democracy” promised by Thatcherism, Britain looks more like a landlords’ paradise. By 2017, 40% of the homes flogged off under right to buy were owned by private landlords charging twice the rent of council properties. Indeed, in the space of two decades, the odds of a young adult on a middle income owning a home more than halved. These young people have been called generation rent, with about half of the under-35s in England renting in a private sector often defined by extortionate rents and insecurity.

Rents in England take up approaching half of a tenants’ take-home pay, and an astonishing 74.8% in London, up one-third since the century began. And if millennials bet the house, so to speak, on a parental lifeboat, disappointment beckons: the typical inheritance age is between 55 and 64, and the median amount handed down is about £11,000, meaning half receive less.

There is no rational reason, of course, for the young to defend this economic system. According to a 2019 poll by the charity Barnardo’s, two-thirds of under-25s believe their generation will be worse off than their parents. Keir Milburn, an academic and the author of Generation Left – which argues widespread leftist sympathies among the young are a modern phenomenon bred by economic conditions – says this pessimism is new. “For someone born in the 60s who came into adulthood, there was a sense of optimism, that things will be better,” he says. “It’s the Enlightenment, modernist attitude that things will get better, society will always generally progress. Now it’s just [the author] Steven Pinker who thinks this.”

David Horner, 30, a charity worker in London, began feeling disenchanted with the prevailing system when he was at university. Now he has a child on the way, he worries about the world he’s bringing them into. From working with younger people from poorer communities to listening to the experiences of friends working in crisis-ridden health and education services, he’s in no doubt about the problem. “But we’re told this is the apex, the best we can get as a political economic system, and any alternative – even if it’s seemingly not that radical – just gets pushed away, that this is the way things have to be,” he says. “As I’ve got older, there’s that unfortunate feeling that you don’t want to accept the way things are, but there’s so much power, and corporations and people with vested interests in capitalism and the way the economy works at the moment.”

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A generation was told that it was important to go to university to have a salary you could live on. But the earnings gap between graduates and non-graduates has fallen substantially and, despite England’s graduates accruing a student debt of £40,280 in 2020, more than one-third of employed Britons with a degree work in non-graduate jobs. In the years that followed the financial crash, and austerity in particular, it was the wages of young workers that fell the most in a protracted living-standards squeeze without precedent since the Victorian era.

Formal education plus economic insecurity is a heady mix, but it’s not the only phenomenon at play. Non-academic routes to a secure standard of living have been stripped away, such as the skilled apprenticeships available to so many 16-year-old school leavers in the past. Young working-class voters were considerably more likely to vote Labour in 2017 than their middle-class counterparts.

But a profound existential question has led many young people to question the entire economic system. “I saw a post on Instagram the other day asking if you’d rather travel a hundred years backwards or forwards in time, and all the comments asked: ‘Are we even going to be around in a hundred years?’” says Haroon Faqir, a 22-year-old graduate. “Those comments sum up people my age and our attitudes towards the problems we face in a capitalist system.”

Emily Harris, 20, a student in London, says her biggest worry is that “there’s not even going to be a planet: we’ve got Jeff Bezos launching himself into space while Las Vegas runs out of water and half the world’s on fire. If these billionaires stopped making money they could solve all of these problems and still have billions in the bank.”

While much of the mainstream media offers little sympathy for the insecurities and aspirations of younger Britons, the internet has offered a political education. The journalist Chanté Joseph is 25, placing her in the borderlands between millennial and zoomer. “[The microblogging site] Tumblr radicalised me,” she says. “Reading about race, identity and class made me think: ‘This is all crazy,’ and opened my eyes.”

Many of her generation then migrated to Twitter and TikTok, she says, “where young people create a lot of political content that’s really personable and relatable. That’s why a lot of younger people feel more radical – it seems more normal when these ideas are explained in a way where you think: ‘How can you possibly disagree?’”

More than one-third of workers on zero-hours contracts – often not knowing how much they will be paid week to week – are under 25, while many others are in “bogus self-employment”, where they are registered as self-employed but are actually working on contract for one employer while deprived of rights such as a minimum wage or holiday pay. The free market would bring them freedom, they were told; instead it gifted them insecurity.

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The sacrifices made by young people during the pandemic have further crystallised a sense of injustice. Hannah Baird, a 22-year-old student, grew up in Rotherham and has always felt dissatisfied by the status quo. Her fears about the climate emergency, and exposure to dissenting opinions on social media, strengthened her discontent. “During the pandemic it feels like a lot of blame has been put on young people for the cases,” she says. “I still have to pay the full tuition fees when exclusively doing online lessons for a year and a half, which feels like a slap in the face, and it always seems universities were the last to be mentioned in plans for unlocking. It just feels, in general, that the government don’t really care about our generation, like we’re left behind.”

That doesn’t mean the young have been transformed into committed revolutionary socialists, but of those millennials familiar with Karl Marx, half have a positive view of him, compared with 40% of generation X and just 20% of baby boomers.

In Beautiful World, Where Are You – the latest novel by the millennial author Sally Rooney – it’s not just the sex that is sexy. One of her characters mulls over how everyone is talking about communism. “When I first started talking about Marxism, people laughed at me,” they say. “Now it’s everyone’s thing.” While it’s probably not the backbone of the patter at newly bustling nightclubs in Newcastle or Cardiff, there’s no question that a post-cold war youth is far more open to this once roundly condemned 19th-century philosophy.

Many placed their faith in Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership to offer solutions to their economic grievances; recent polling suggests that younger Labour voters are nearly twice as likely to believe he would be a better leader than Keir Starmer.

Most young people are not immersed in radical literature, yet politicised zoomers and millennials leave an ideological footprint in their friendship groups. But this doesn’t mean the left should simply bank the two rising generations, waiting for demographics to eventually grant the political victory that has so far eluded them. As the economist James Meadway warned in a recent article, entitled Generation Left Might Not Be That Left After All, populist rightwing answers to their disenchantment might cut through. In France, many young people have swung to the far right; in the UK, few are members of trade unions, which historically help craft anti-capitalist attitudes; while some classically rightwing sentiments coexist with leftish attitudes among many young people.

The rich – whose wealth surged during the pandemic – remain uneaten. But it is clear that young people see no rational incentive to back a system that seems to offer little other than insecurity and crisis.

[CHOSEN]

A raíz del post de RGCIM, he de recordar que el juego de las guerras, el hombre blanco lo juega mejor que nadie. Somos libres para ser malos, filosóficamente hablando vamos 200 años por delante del régimen semifeudal chino. Espero que no se entienda en clave racista.
La gran fortaleza China, su régimen socialista, es a la vez su gran debilidad. Creo que 500 millones de personas criticando al poder único, perfectamente identificado en el PCCh, es algo inasumible para cualquier sociedad. Quiero decir, que cuando empiece la crisis amarilla, ésta será ingestionable.
Por contra aqui en las democracias descentralizadas occidentales, la culpa nunca es de nadie.
Como mucho del anterior.
Hay algo anterior al PCCh?
Necesitan su perestroika.
Mejor dicho, como hombre blanco occidental con libertad para ejercer el mal a sabiendas, trataría de inducir la crisis allí para desviar la atención de lo que sucede aquí, que no es poco.

[el malo]

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/sep/20/eat-the-rich-why-millennials-and-generation-z-have-turned-their-backs-on-capitalism

Eat the rich! Why millennials and generation Z have turned their backs on capitalism
How anti-capitalism went mainstream.
 Illustration: Jacky Sheridan/The Guardian
Nearly eight out of 10 of young Britons blame capitalism for the housing crisis and two-thirds want to live under a socialist economic system. How did that happen?
Mon 20 Sep 2021 10.00 BST
The young are hungry and the rich are on the menu. This delicacy first appeared in the 18th century, when the philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau supposedly declared: “When the people shall have no more to eat, they will eat the rich!” But today this phrase is all over Twitter and other social media. On TikTok, viral videos feature fresh-faced youngsters menacingly raising their forks at anyone with cars that have start buttons or fridges that have water and ice dispensers.

So should the world’s billionaires – and fridge-owners – start sleeping with one eye open? Hardly. It’s clear that millennials (those born between the early 80s and the mid-90s) and zoomers (the following generation) are not really advocating violence. But it is also clear that this is more than just another viral meme.


The world’s most famous leftwing millennial, New York’s rebellious Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, neatly sums up the generation’s zeitgeist. If leftism often seems to be the preserve of socially awkward nerds – hi! – and shouty older white men, she is the totem of the cool kids who like their redistribution of wealth and power with a hefty side order of mainstream popular culture.

It doesn’t sit easily with some: when the congresswoman accepted a free invitation to the uber-exclusive Met Ball in a dress emblazoned with “Tax the rich”, even some leftists joined the right in puffed-up outrage. Whether you thought it was an audacious demand for the sickeningly rich to cough up at their own exclusive party – or a stunt compromised by taking place in a real-life version of The Hunger Games’s Capitol – it showed that elites can’t escape the young flexing their political muscles.

According to a report published in July by the rightwing thinktank the Institute for Economic Affairs (IEA), younger Britons have taken a decidedly leftwing turn. Nearly 80% blame capitalism for the housing crisis, while 75% believe the climate emergency is “specifically a capitalist problem” and 72% back sweeping nationalisation. All in all, 67% want to live under a socialist economic system.

With a seemingly hegemonic Tory party on a high after routing Corbynism, the IEA warned that the polling is a “wake-up call” for supporters of market capitalism. “The rejection of capitalism may be an abstract aspiration,” it says. “But so too was Brexit.” It’s a striking phenomenon on the other side of the Atlantic, too: a Harvard University study in 2016 found that more than 50% of young people in the heartland of laissez-faire economics reject capitalism, while a 2018 Gallup poll found that 45% of young Americans saw capitalism favourably, down from 68% in 2010.

¡La culpa es del capitalimmmmo! ¡Muerte a los ricoh!

No membrillos, la culpa es de vuestros padres y abuelos. Los mismos que votan en contra de nuevas leyes de urbanismo para mantener el valor de sus tesoros. Los mismos que tienen el transporte pagado, ayudas a la vivienda y cuidadores gratis pagados por las diferentes administraciones. Esa generación es la que ha acaparado recursos y está exprimiendo la teta pública como si les perteneciera por derecho. La generación que curraba 8 horas y ni un minuto más porque los sindicatos se echaban a la calle. La generación que tenía todo por construir y no tenía que competir con chinos ni países del tercer mundo.

Ahora seguid diciendo que el capitalismo es malo y pedid un gobierno socialista. Menudas risas nos vamos a pegar todos cuando lo consigáis. Entonces sí que se va a cumplir eso de "no tendrás nada" (¿y serás feliz?)

[AbiertoPorDemolicion]

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/sep/20/eat-the-rich-why-millennials-and-generation-z-have-turned-their-backs-on-capitalism

Eat the rich! Why millennials and generation Z have turned their backs on capitalism
How anti-capitalism went mainstream.
 Illustration: Jacky Sheridan/The Guardian
Nearly eight out of 10 of young Britons blame capitalism for the housing crisis and two-thirds want to live under a socialist economic system. How did that happen?
Mon 20 Sep 2021 10.00 BST
The young are hungry and the rich are on the menu. This delicacy first appeared in the 18th century, when the philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau supposedly declared: “When the people shall have no more to eat, they will eat the rich!” But today this phrase is all over Twitter and other social media. On TikTok, viral videos feature fresh-faced youngsters menacingly raising their forks at anyone with cars that have start buttons or fridges that have water and ice dispensers.

So should the world’s billionaires – and fridge-owners – start sleeping with one eye open? Hardly. It’s clear that millennials (those born between the early 80s and the mid-90s) and zoomers (the following generation) are not really advocating violence. But it is also clear that this is more than just another viral meme.


The world’s most famous leftwing millennial, New York’s rebellious Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, neatly sums up the generation’s zeitgeist. If leftism often seems to be the preserve of socially awkward nerds – hi! – and shouty older white men, she is the totem of the cool kids who like their redistribution of wealth and power with a hefty side order of mainstream popular culture.

It doesn’t sit easily with some: when the congresswoman accepted a free invitation to the uber-exclusive Met Ball in a dress emblazoned with “Tax the rich”, even some leftists joined the right in puffed-up outrage. Whether you thought it was an audacious demand for the sickeningly rich to cough up at their own exclusive party – or a stunt compromised by taking place in a real-life version of The Hunger Games’s Capitol – it showed that elites can’t escape the young flexing their political muscles.

According to a report published in July by the rightwing thinktank the Institute for Economic Affairs (IEA), younger Britons have taken a decidedly leftwing turn. Nearly 80% blame capitalism for the housing crisis, while 75% believe the climate emergency is “specifically a capitalist problem” and 72% back sweeping nationalisation. All in all, 67% want to live under a socialist economic system.

With a seemingly hegemonic Tory party on a high after routing Corbynism, the IEA warned that the polling is a “wake-up call” for supporters of market capitalism. “The rejection of capitalism may be an abstract aspiration,” it says. “But so too was Brexit.” It’s a striking phenomenon on the other side of the Atlantic, too: a Harvard University study in 2016 found that more than 50% of young people in the heartland of laissez-faire economics reject capitalism, while a 2018 Gallup poll found that 45% of young Americans saw capitalism favourably, down from 68% in 2010.

¡La culpa es del capitalimmmmo! ¡Muerte a los ricoh!

No membrillos, la culpa es de vuestros padres y abuelos. Los mismos que votan en contra de nuevas leyes de urbanismo para mantener el valor de sus tesoros. Los mismos que tienen el transporte pagado, ayudas a la vivienda y cuidadores gratis pagados por las diferentes administraciones. Esa generación es la que ha acaparado recursos y está exprimiendo la teta pública como si les perteneciera por derecho. La generación que curraba 8 horas y ni un minuto más porque los sindicatos se echaban a la calle. La generación que tenía todo por construir y no tenía que competir con chinos ni países del tercer mundo.

Ahora seguid diciendo que el capitalismo es malo y pedid un gobierno socialista. Menudas risas nos vamos a pegar todos cuando lo consigáis. Entonces sí que se va a cumplir eso de "no tendrás nada" (¿y serás feliz?)

Primero, hay que definir bien que es el capitalismo. O mejor dicho, lo que no es.

el capitalismo NO es:

- Seguir "sacando" rentas de activos que ya han sido tres veces amortizados.
-Traer el dinero del futuro al presente, para que en el presente nos demos la vida padre.
- Provocar escasez de un bien abundante y barato, y transformarlo en un activo caro y escaso para sacar rentas.
- Rescatar con dinero público a los endeudados en activos improductivos.
- etc, etc.

Porque a lo mejor, lo que tenemos ahora lo llaman capitalismo y es otra cosa. Pero da igual; los -ismos son todo mentira. Es una etelequia intelectual que en los libros de texto quedan muy bien, pero que despues las mayorias electorales lo interpretan como les da la gana, y siempre con la intención de forrarse a costa de  los demás.

[siempretarde]

Ay!! asustadisimos, que se olvida usteh de una parte.

Lo de Evergrande ha sido una leccion, pero dura y mas dura para los amigos del "rentismo" en la propia china, solo hay que ver que beneficios pasados no garantizan beneficios futuros.

Dicho de una forma corta. El ciudadano chino que metio sus ahorros en Evergrande esperando vivir de rentas, esta viviendo la pesadilla de su vida.

De nuevo gracias a todos los del foro, especialmente a Derby que nos ha traido dia a dia el desarrollo de Evergrande, y a Pastormesetario "son los datos hamijo!!!!! siempretarde". Chapeau a ambos especialmente.

PD: tengo que dar muchos thanks, pero estoy muuu liao.

EL DESQUICIE.—

El modelo popularcapitalista está desquiciándonos.

Todo está hecho una 'mierda' —'Mierdismo'—, pero la inflación, los precios de la electricidad, los precios de los activos financieros —que ya no expresan el riesgo específico en cada operación financiera, sino el miedo cerval a todo lo demás—, las cotizaciones extravagantes de media docena de empresas norteamericanas, los supersalarios de los trabajadores-directivos y, sobre todo, la vivienda, son cosas que, sin embargo, están mucho más bonitas que un San Luis, "porque ya nos estamos rerrecuperando y, si tú eres un perdedor, es que algo habrás hecho mal".

Especialmente, están desquiciados los Fiscos occidentales, cuya impotencia —insuficiencia estructural crónica— clama al Cielo.


YA ESTÁ AQUÍ.—

No hay que olvidar que, en la República Popular China, la economía no es 'de mercado', sino 'de planificación central'. Con otras palabras, predomina la titularidad pública del Capital sobre la privada.

En el Caso Evergrande, hay que considerar, pues, que:
— la deuda interior está funcionalmente extinguida por confusión entre deudor y acreedor;
— la deuda exterior resultará parcialmente impagada, por lo que los inversores extranjeros y sus bancos tienen que provisionarla ya; y
— lo más importante, la quiebra es un proceso administrado por el Estado chino.

No es tan casual que, en la misma semana de la maduración final del Caso Evergrande, EEUU, con la ayuda de UK, se haya burlado de la UE-Francia en un contrato sobre armamento con Australia (submarinos para patrullar por el Océano Pacífico), parapetándose en la presunta hostilidad de la República Popular China.

En la gestión activa de la quiebra de Evergrande podría estar la respuesta china. Quizá, la acción ofensiva definitiva en el conflicto por la hegemonía económica mundial.

Hoy, en las Bolsas occidentales, oficialmente, está viviéndose el Efecto Evergrande.

Señores, ¡ya está aquí!

Hoy es un día histórico.

[JENOFONTE10]

[...]
O a través de Rusia, o a través de un Oriente medio inestable y bajo controles diversos  (Irán,  siria, Turquía...)

China tampoco posee como UE de materia prima ni energía.

UE debe acercarse a Rusia y fortalecer ruta de la seda o aumentar su capacidad militar expedicionarios e inversión ultramarina por mar.
[...]
Las piezas encajan. [...]

Logística euroasiática intermediada, o con origen ruso (proyectos finalizados y ya comentados en estos hilos hace años):

Desde que el tren parte de Yiwu, ciudad comercial situada a 300 km al sur de Shanghái, la línea atraviesa China, Kazajistán, Rusia, Bielorrusia, Polonia, Alemania, Francia y finalmente España, hasta llegar a su capital.
[...]
https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/L%C3%ADnea_Madrid-Yiwu

https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poder_de_Siberia

Rusia termina el gasoducto Nord Stream 2 y planea iniciar el bombeo este año
[...]
"El hecho de que el proyecto entre en su etapa final, ya está construido y pronto comenzará a bombear gas, puede ser visto como una victoria geopolítica de Moscú, ya que enfrentó una oposición bastante fuerte por parte de EE.UU. y algunos países europeos (...)", dijo a Efe el director del grupo de recursos naturales y materias primas de la agencia Fitch, Dmitri Marinchenko.
[...] en un momento en el que el precio del gas en Europa subió por encima de los 700 dólares por mil metros cúbicos este viernes.

Gazprom, que construyó el Nord Stream 2 junto con la financiación de las empresas francesa Engie, las alemanas Uniper y Wintershall, la austríaca OMV y la anglo-holandesa Shell, quiere poner en marcha el gasoducto antes de fin de año.
[...]
https://www.efe.com/efe/espana/economia/gazprom-anuncia-la-finalizacion-de-construccion-gasoducto-nord-stream-2/10003-4626555

Sobre carencias energéticas en China y UE, son pasadas y presentes en hidrocarburos, basta con ver renglones de importaciones. Sin embargo en renovables, hay eólica y solar competitiva, y proyectos de hidrógeno verde, minería y refinado de Li, etc.

Sobre portaviones y submarinos, otros foreros nos podrían actualizar con mas conocimientos militares que servidor.

Saludos.

[PastorMesetario]

En el S&P perforado el primer nivel importante. Parón lógico en el segundo nivel, más importante que el anterior, claro. Oleada de compras. Ventas potentes, de momento, frenadas.

El nivel realmente serio está muuuuucho más abajo.

[siempretarde]

Estan rompiendo el 5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5- del triangulo que llevan... miramos a ver que hacen. El susto lo estan pegando. A ver si no nos hacen alguna onda extra, que siempre se puede, o el pull-back definitivo.

PD: casi 100 puntos de sp duelen mucho al que va con contratos.

En el S&P perforado el primer nivel importante. Parón lógico en el segundo nivel, más importante que el anterior, claro. Oleada de compras. Ventas potentes, de momento, frenadas.

El nivel realmente serio está muuuuucho más abajo.

[siempretarde]

Podrian bajarlo 50 puntos mas, pero entonces habria panico de verdad por indicadores. Algunos estan entrando en divergencias alcistas a c/p.

Parece que se contentan con mm100. Esto ya ha sido una sangria mas que suficiente. No veo gaps.

Veremos.... y yo que queria ver la television un rato.

Estan rompiendo el 5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5-5- del triangulo que llevan... miramos a ver que hacen. El susto lo estan pegando. A ver si no nos hacen alguna onda extra, que siempre se puede, o el pull-back definitivo.

PD: casi 100 puntos de sp duelen mucho al que va con contratos.

En el S&P perforado el primer nivel importante. Parón lógico en el segundo nivel, más importante que el anterior, claro. Oleada de compras. Ventas potentes, de momento, frenadas.

El nivel realmente serio está muuuuucho más abajo.

[sudden and sharp]

 

[Vipamo]

Ante todo quiero darle las gracias a Derby, ya que me ha anticipado lo de Evergrande con sus Posts certeros.

Respecto a los acontecimientos económicos con el crack de Evergrande en China y su posible ola expansiva mundial no tengo una idea clara todavía.
A priori parece una declaración de principios con lo que al tratamiento de la burbuja inmobiliaria en China se refiere.
¿Llegará a mostrar que el rey occidental está desnudo?

Por otro lado no deberíamos magnificar el acuerdo Aukusa, porque no es nada nuevo, más bien el núcleo duro de los five eyes.
Los submarinos atómicos empezarán a estar operativos para los Aussies en los años 40. Mucha lluvia por caer hasta entonces.

El tablero donde se jugarán los cuartos será la masa terrenal Euroasiatica.
Especificando, si se puede profundizar en un intercambio económico con dos terminales en sus extremos opuestos (China - UE).
En un devenir favorable de esa unión, el anglosajón volverá a su origen isleño con armadas pirateando los mares, pero sin la importancia que tuvo en siglos pasados. 
De momento los acontecimientos van favoreciendo a Eurasia.

Con USA replegándose en:

OM véase Iran, Iraq y Siria, con un aliado (Saudi Arabia) más que dudoso (recordemos que los terroristas del 11S eran todos saudíes), y un Israel oportunista que sabrá bailar con todas.

Asia central, saliendo por patas de Afganistán. Con un Pakistán que es una bomba de relojería nuclear y con la (única) esperanza de que los Indios vuelvan a aventurarse haciendo un Deal con sus antiguos amos, que ya les humillaron en el pasado.

Les quedan los países de la alianza de Visegrado especialmente Polonia para meter una cuña en el escenario Euroasiatico. Y parece que por ahí van sus esfuerzos. Véase trasvase de Rammstein a base en Polonia.
En retrospectiva hay que dar la razón a los que avisaron del gran error que cometía la UE con su expansión hacia el Este, debilitando su núcleo con en ese overstretch como se dice en términos militares.
Con una Turquía yendo por libre buscando revivir el imperio otomano y Ucrania siendo un pozo sin fondo, es la opción más factible para los Americanos en su afán de torpedear la unión Asia-Europa.

Queda Rusia que es el gran interrogante. Cubre gran parte de esa masa continental. Reúne la tecnología más puntera con una infraestructura tercermundista en grandes partes de su imperio. Un Estado autoritario, con una oligarquía corrupta que sin embargo cuida en no caer en desgracia ante el poder político con sus agencias de espionaje omnipresentes.
20 millones de musulmanes dentro de sus 150 mio de habitantes que pueden convertirse en hostiles, no solo en las repúblicas de Dagestan y Chechenia, si no también en los países colindantes a Afganistán (Uzbequistan y Tadchiquistan).
A su favor tiene una riqueza en recursos naturales sin igual. Armas que podrían destruir la vida humana en varios planetas tierra y unos habitantes con una capacidad de sufrimiento a años luz de las sociedades occidentales. Podría ser el guardián del transito eroasiatico y abrir un corredor náutico por el mar polar. El grano que inclina la balanza. Llevan siglos jugando al juego geopolítico y saben jugarlo.
Sigue vigente la frase de Churchill para describir Rusia: “A riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma”. Una adivinanza envuelta en un misterio dentro de un enigma.

Eje Franco-Alemán. La jugada “traicionera” USA Australia ha tenido un timing perfecto, con Alemania volcada en sus comicios han pillado a Francia aislada en su reacción.
Lo más probable es que pueda haber un gobierno socialista en coalición con los verdes. He aquí el gran problema europeo, donde el parlamentarismo de cada Estado-Miembro imposibilita cualquier toma de decisión rápida. Una vez superada la pantalla de los parlamentos nacionales queda el embrollo del consenso europeo. Al contar con países tan dispares como Bulgaria y Paises Bajos  imposibilita cualquier entendimiento a tempo.
Quizás se debería volver a una Europa de dos velocidades pero en un contexto militar. Donde a parte del ejército francés no hay ningún Estado que presente un ejército mínimamente válido para los retos mundiales. En este caso si que se sufrió una gran pérdida con el Brexit. El ejército de Albion era el mejor que había en la UE.