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Y mientras tanto en España:El 78 % de los consejeros delegados afirma que en tres años no habrá teletrabajohttps://www.eldebate.com/economia/20231015/78-consejeros-delegados-afirma-tres-n-no-habra-teletrabajo_146614.html
Relacionado también con la propuesta de valor al empleado, el teletrabajo, que desde la pandemia cuenta con un amplio apoyo entre los profesionales, especialmente los más jóvenes, sigue siendo objeto de debate. Sin embargo, la opinión de los CEO apunta a que en el medio plazo se volverá mayoritariamente a la oficina. Tres de cada cuatro entrevistados en España (78%, 14 puntos por encima de la media global) prevé que en tres años se recupere el modelo completamente presencial
Hedge funds' short positions in some Treasuries futures - contracts for the purchase and sale of bonds for future delivery [Ehem, ehem.] - have recently hit record highs as part of so-called basis trades, which take advantage of the premium of futures contracts over the price of the underlying bonds, analysts have said.
Lo que va a costar romper el espinazo de esta gente.
Creo que esto es interesante, respecto el cambio que se proyecta a medio plazo (prioridad de reconvertir mano de obra antes que incorporar a la que no está ocupada), así como un más de lo mismo (el Contrato para la Formación que ya impulsó Rajoy), subvencionar el empleo de bajo valor con jóvenes subvencionados para que no chapen miles y miles de PYMEs: https://www.vozpopuli.com/economia_y_finanzas/gobierno-fracasa-intento-formar-parados-fondos-ue.htmlCitarEl Gobierno fracasa en su intento de formar parados con fondos UE para cubrir las vacantes en España* Es uno de los objetivos del Plan de Recuperación al que están asociados los fondos UE. Ha cambiado las reglas para que las empresas no estén obligadas a contratarlos y se pueda formar también a ocupadosBeatriz Triguero - 16/10/2023 Se calcula que en España faltan más de 140.000 trabajadores. El problema de las vacantes, del que han alertado los propios empresarios, se ha agravado en los últimos años y está presente en el Plan de Recuperación que España firmó con la Comisión Europea en 2021 para recibir los fondos europeos Next Generation EU.En el plan original, el Gobierno se comprometió a formar a 825.000 personas en transformación digital, verde y productiva antes del cuarto trimestre de 2025. Una promesa que, tras varias convocatorias lanzadas desde el pasado año, el Ejecutivo se veía incapaz de cumplir; al menos en las condiciones iniciales.Planteó el apoyo a la cobertura de vacantes en sectores estratégicos de interés nacional mediante la financiación de acciones formativas, pero siempre y cuando incluyesen un "compromiso de contratación". En este sentido, focalizó esa formación en las casi tres millones de personas desempleadas que figuran como demandantes de empleo en el Servicio Público de Empleo Estatal (SEPE).Sin embargo, el pasado mes de junio el Gobierno envió a Bruselas un Plan de Recuperación reformulado, con medio centenar de hitos y objetivos que se retrasaban o se modificaban. Uno de ellos es ese compromiso de formación para parados en competencias para la transformación digital, verde y productiva.Ahora el Gobierno ha suavizado las reglas para que no sea obligatorio contratarlos después de recibir la formación y permite también que los ocupados accedan a estos cursos, tal y como apuntan la Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada (Fedea) y Llorente y Cuenca (LLYC) en los análisis de la citada Adenda.La Comisión Europea explica en la documentación publicada que "España ha propuesto modificar la descripción del hito 344 para incorporar como grupo destinatario de las formaciones a los trabajadores ocupados, además de los desempleados. Esto responde a la insuficiente demanda de las empresas para formar a trabajadores desempleados. Para aumentar la demanda, las empresas ya no estarán obligadas a contratar a desempleados".El fin último del Ejecutivo con esta flexibilización de las condiciones para acceder a la formación en sectores estratégicos es que el objetivo se cumpla en tiempo y forma. De ello depende que España reciba íntegramente el noveno desembolso de fondos UE a fondo perdido, dotado con 5.000 millones de euros y previsto para el primer semestre de 2026.Becarios y otros cambiosEl Gobierno también ha modificado otros hitos relacionados con la formación y el empleo y vinculados a ese noveno pago. Es el caso de los programas de Empleo Joven, que financia las becas para prácticas a jóvenes de entre 16 y 29 años. El Gobierno ha ampliado el tipo de entidades públicas en las que se pueden realizar.Finalmente, retrasa el plazo para ejecutar otras dos inversiones vinculadas al empleo. Por un lado, retrasa un año, hasta el cuarto trimestre del año que viene, el despliegue de la Red de Centros Públicos de Orientación, Emprendimiento, Acompañamiento e Innovación para el Empleo. También aplaza un año y medio, hasta el segundo trimestre de 2025, la finalización de los proyectos de economía social.
El Gobierno fracasa en su intento de formar parados con fondos UE para cubrir las vacantes en España* Es uno de los objetivos del Plan de Recuperación al que están asociados los fondos UE. Ha cambiado las reglas para que las empresas no estén obligadas a contratarlos y se pueda formar también a ocupadosBeatriz Triguero - 16/10/2023 Se calcula que en España faltan más de 140.000 trabajadores. El problema de las vacantes, del que han alertado los propios empresarios, se ha agravado en los últimos años y está presente en el Plan de Recuperación que España firmó con la Comisión Europea en 2021 para recibir los fondos europeos Next Generation EU.En el plan original, el Gobierno se comprometió a formar a 825.000 personas en transformación digital, verde y productiva antes del cuarto trimestre de 2025. Una promesa que, tras varias convocatorias lanzadas desde el pasado año, el Ejecutivo se veía incapaz de cumplir; al menos en las condiciones iniciales.Planteó el apoyo a la cobertura de vacantes en sectores estratégicos de interés nacional mediante la financiación de acciones formativas, pero siempre y cuando incluyesen un "compromiso de contratación". En este sentido, focalizó esa formación en las casi tres millones de personas desempleadas que figuran como demandantes de empleo en el Servicio Público de Empleo Estatal (SEPE).Sin embargo, el pasado mes de junio el Gobierno envió a Bruselas un Plan de Recuperación reformulado, con medio centenar de hitos y objetivos que se retrasaban o se modificaban. Uno de ellos es ese compromiso de formación para parados en competencias para la transformación digital, verde y productiva.Ahora el Gobierno ha suavizado las reglas para que no sea obligatorio contratarlos después de recibir la formación y permite también que los ocupados accedan a estos cursos, tal y como apuntan la Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada (Fedea) y Llorente y Cuenca (LLYC) en los análisis de la citada Adenda.La Comisión Europea explica en la documentación publicada que "España ha propuesto modificar la descripción del hito 344 para incorporar como grupo destinatario de las formaciones a los trabajadores ocupados, además de los desempleados. Esto responde a la insuficiente demanda de las empresas para formar a trabajadores desempleados. Para aumentar la demanda, las empresas ya no estarán obligadas a contratar a desempleados".El fin último del Ejecutivo con esta flexibilización de las condiciones para acceder a la formación en sectores estratégicos es que el objetivo se cumpla en tiempo y forma. De ello depende que España reciba íntegramente el noveno desembolso de fondos UE a fondo perdido, dotado con 5.000 millones de euros y previsto para el primer semestre de 2026.Becarios y otros cambiosEl Gobierno también ha modificado otros hitos relacionados con la formación y el empleo y vinculados a ese noveno pago. Es el caso de los programas de Empleo Joven, que financia las becas para prácticas a jóvenes de entre 16 y 29 años. El Gobierno ha ampliado el tipo de entidades públicas en las que se pueden realizar.Finalmente, retrasa el plazo para ejecutar otras dos inversiones vinculadas al empleo. Por un lado, retrasa un año, hasta el cuarto trimestre del año que viene, el despliegue de la Red de Centros Públicos de Orientación, Emprendimiento, Acompañamiento e Innovación para el Empleo. También aplaza un año y medio, hasta el segundo trimestre de 2025, la finalización de los proyectos de economía social.
China Bet It All on Real Estate. Now Its Economy Is Paying the Price.After relying on a borrow-to-build model for decades, Beijing must make difficult choices about the country’s housing market and economic future.When China’s housing boom seemed like a one-way bet, Gary Meng’s parents bought an apartment from China Evergrande, the country’s biggest developer. Soon the company called with another pitch: to manage their wealth.It was a good deal with little risk, the family thought. Evergrande had global recognition and was a politically important company at the heart of China’s growing economy. They invested all their savings.Then the unthinkable happened. In 2021, Evergrande defaulted, representing the start of a real estate meltdown that has shaken China’s economy, felled some of its biggest companies and left home buyers waiting on more than a million apartments. Last week, another embattled real estate company, Country Garden, said it had run out of cash, signaling that the worst may be yet to come. The companies have a combined $500 billion in debt and face critical hurdles in the coming weeks.Beijing’s ability to slow the collapse is now in doubt as consumers continue to show a lack of interest in buying real estate, even during a recent Golden Week holiday, usually a bumper period for sales.The housing crisis has presented an acute challenge for China’s political leadership: It is trying to wean the country off its decades-long dependence on real estate to drive economic growth, but doing so is deepening a crisis of confidence. Financial markets are questioning the future of China’s economic miracle, and households are abandoning their faith in the Chinese Communist Party’s promise of a better economic future.“In the past, I believed in the government and the party and the country,” said Mr. Meng, whose family invested $300,000 in Evergrande’s wealth management arm and is still owed $194,000. Warned by the police not to file a complaint with higher levels of the government, Mr. Meng said that trust had been tested. “Now I can only say that I am quite bitterly disappointed,” he said.Economists, investors and central banks around the world are warning of the risks to China’s financial stability, calling on Beijing to act to stabilize the housing crisis. The International Monetary Fund’s chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, said last week that China’s real estate crisis was undermining confidence and causing financial difficulties.“The problem is serious,” he said at a summit of policymakers in Marrakesh, Morocco. Both the World Bank and the I.M.F. have cut their growth outlook for China’s economy.China needs to recalibrate, according to economists, to be less dependent on investment in areas like infrastructure and real estate and more reliant on consumers.“The challenge has been trying to give the sector enough support to cope with the transition without stimulating another property bubble or a rebound that makes these problems worse,” said Julian Evans-Pritchard, the China country head at Capital Economics, a research firm. “To get a turnaround in the economy,” Mr. Evans-Pritchard added, “you really need the property sector to stabilize.”Chinese officials have tried to put a floor under falling real estate sales in recent weeks but so far to little effect. Country Garden failed to make a payment on nearly $200 billion of debt on Tuesday and still has more than 400,000 apartments that it sold but has not finished building.How the real estate market came to be at the center of China’s economy was long in the making. For years, everyone bet on housing. Local governments lined their coffers with the proceeds from selling land. Families invested in apartments. Jobs for builders, painters, landscapers and real estate agents were in abundance.Before its collapse set off the housing crisis, Evergrande was a story of success that ran alongside China’s growth. Founded in 1996 by the entrepreneur Xu Jiayin, who is also known as Hui Ka Yan, Evergrande built apartment complexes that helped to urbanize large sections of the country just as China’s agrarian economy began to embrace capitalism.As Evergrande borrowed from Chinese banks and foreign investors to fuel a rapid expansion, it became a behemoth with thousands of subsidiaries. It moved into businesses like bottled water, pig farming, electric cars and even professional soccer.Evergrande’s model was copied by other developers and became the single-biggest contribution to China’s breakneck growth. In 2020, the central government turned its focus to the debt that had piled up and restricted the ability of real estate companies to borrow from banks. The policy, known as the “three red lines,” left companies like Evergrande scrambling for cash and turning to more risky ways to avoid a cash crunch.Evergrande ramped up an industry practice of raising money by selling apartments before they were built. It also turned to employees, telling them to invest in short-term loans or lose out on bonuses. And it persuaded people who had already bought Evergrande apartments to buy investment products offering huge returns. Mr. Meng and his parents were promised 8 and 9 percent interest on their investments. They made money on two of them in 2021, but by the next year, interest payments had stopped altogether.The intensive borrowing in China fed excesses in other sectors: Insurers bought hotels, and an entertainment company bought a Hollywood studio. All the economic activity made it easy for the government to ignore the bubble that was building because companies, including Evergrande, were helping local governments — first by buying land and then by building complexes that contributed to economic growth that got local politicians promoted.Now that most of these companies are in the graveyard of corporate excess, many are wondering what Beijing will do next.Consensus has emerged among experts in China that it will not return to those days of excess. But questions remain, especially as the broader economic outlook darkens.“When you have 30 years of rising prices, there is no way you can stop that process without tremendous pain in every part of the economy,” said Michael Pettis, a senior fellow at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Everyone who benefited from the real estate boom — the banks, local governments and households — has a lot at stake. “The political question is, who takes the loss,” Mr. Pettis said.Until now, the government had made clear that home buyers would not be the casualties of the reckoning in the real estate market. Despite having defaulted, Evergrande was allowed by officials to continue building 300,000 apartments last year.Evergrande’s importance for policymakers now appears to be over. This month, the authorities detained its founder, Mr. Xu, on suspicion of what the company called “illegal crimes.” Several other top executives and employees of its wealth management arm have been taken in for questioning.Ensuring that apartments promised by now-broke developers get built will cost $55 billion to $82 billion, according to estimates from economists at the Japanese financial firm Nomura.But these same developers owe many other people money. Suppliers, like painters, builders and brokers, are waiting on more than $390 billion, by one estimate. Foreign creditors who lent billions to Chinese developers are banding together to try to get some of their money back through complicated restructuring plans.And China’s leaders will need to spend much more money to bolster private businesses and households to encourage them to spend and get the economy moving, said Bert Hofman, an honorary senior fellow on the Chinese economy at the Asia Society Policy Institute. This will mean transferring more money into things like rural pensions and increasing health care coverage.“More broadly, reforms need to be put in place to manage the demand side of the economy without using real estate as a lever,” Mr. Hofman said.“Just words is no longer enough,” he said. “It is about policy actions and visible events that would give people confidence to say yes, there is something to this.”
ENTREVISTA EN EL 'FINANCIAL TIMES'De Cos pide un "fuerte consenso político" para recortar el déficit y la deuda en 2024Apela a la necesidad de un acuerdo entre partidos para impulsar el potencial de crecimiento del país y reducir el desempleo que, pese a caer drásticamente, sigue siendo el más alto de la UE"Para que las reformas estructurales y el proceso de consolidación fiscal tengan éxito, las medidas políticas deben ser de carácter permanente. Por lo tanto, es esencial que el diseño, la aprobación y la implementación estén respaldadas por un fuerte consenso político". Así de rotundo se ha mostrado Pablo Hernández de Cos, gobernador del Banco de España, en una entrevista concedida al Financial Times. Una afirmación que se produce semanas después de que Feijóo fracasara tras rechazar el Congreso su investidura. No obstante, el gobernador del Banco de España destacó la necesidad de que el futuro Gobierno construya un acuerdo entre partidos en torno a un plan para reducir el déficit, impulsar el potencial de crecimiento del país y reducir el desempleo que, pese a caer drásticamente, sigue siendo el más alto de la Unión Europea.Esta demanda se produce tras agudizarse la preocupación de los inversores por los altos niveles de deuda de distintos gobiernos, como es el caso de España e Italia, ya que el país transalpino ha incrementado su pronóstico de déficit presupuestario, lo que ha incrementado el diferencial entre los bonos italianos y alemanes por encima de los dos puntos porcentuales por primera vez en muchos meses. Así, Hernández de Cos resalta que los mayores costes de endeudamientos subrayan la necesidad de que los gobiernos comiencen a reducir los déficits el próximo año. "La consolidación fiscal debería comenzar en 2024", según ha asegurado en la entrevista.(...)
Owners of second homes in Scotland braced for doubling of council taxPlans to free-up housing as holiday properties force up property pricesAbout 25,000 second-home owners face a doubling of council tax bills next year under plans to free-up housing for local residents.Big tax premiums on owning holiday homes are aimed at encouraging owners to sell their properties or rent them out long term.Second homes empty for long periods, or allowed to become derelict, may also be compulsorily purchased and converted into private rentals. Councils will be encouraged to spend the extra income from the higher tax bills on affordable homes.The proposals are outlined in the Scottish government’s rural housing action plan, which is designed to make it easier for young families to buy starter homes in the Highlands and Islands, as well as encourage young people not to leave rural communities for work elsewhere.Housing shortages for local families and workers are a significant issue in many holiday hotspots where second home ownership is forcing up property prices.Official figures show that there are more than 24,000 second homes in Scotland. More than a third of them are in three local authority areas — Highland, Argyll and Bute, and Fife. The council tax in all three councils is about £1,400 a year for a Band D home, rising to about £3,500 for Band H.Under existing legislation, second homes, broadly defined as dwellings which are not a main residence, are given a 50 per cent discount but 25 of Scotland’s 32 councils have already been allowed to charge the full amount. The new legislation would allow for bills to be 200 per cent of the standard council tax charge.Opponents to new crackdowns on second home ownership are concerned that doubling council tax will deter investment and the flow of income into remote areas.Those buying second homes in Scotland are already paying a 6 per cent “additional homes supplement” on top of land and buildings transaction taxes as well as new restrictions on short-term lets.Fergus Ewing, the MSP for Inverness and Nairn and a former cabinet secretary for rural economy, told The Mail on Sunday: “These proposals will punish those who have invested hard-earned cash in homes and will lead many to invest abroad instead.“This will drive money out of Scotland, damaging many local economies with less money going to local builders, shops and tradesmen.”The action plan document states: “The growth of online platforms has fuelled the trend for residential homes, particularly in tourist hotspots, to be changed from primary homes to short-term lets or second homes.“Making the best use of existing housing can make a significant contribution to increasing the supply of permanent homes. This could be by limiting the number of second homes, changing the use of properties used for tourism to private rental.”The action plan also proposes giving local authorities compulsory sale and purchase powers to bring derelict land and empty properties back into use.The plan says: “In 2024 we will take forward work to consider the justification for and practical operation of compulsory sales orders, particularly in light of our commitment to reforming compulsory purchase orders.”Paul McLennan, the SNP housing minister, said: “The rural and islands housing action plan will deliver the right homes in the right places, generate sustainable local economic growth and help rural and island communities to thrive.”
Stack Overflow Cuts 28% Workforce as the AI Coding Boom ContinuesPosted by msmash on Monday October 16, 2023 @12:40PM from the how-about-that dept.Coding help forum Stack Overflow is laying off 28 percent of its staff as it struggles toward profitability. From a report:CitarCEO Prashanth Chandrasekar announced today that the company is "significantly reducing the size of our go-to-market organization," as well as "supporting teams" and other groups. After the team doubled its employee base last year, Chandrasekar told The Verge's Nilay Patel in an interview that about 45 percent of those hires were for its go-to-market sales team, which he said was "obviously the largest team."Prosus acquired Stack Overflow in a $1.8 billion deal in mid-2021.
CEO Prashanth Chandrasekar announced today that the company is "significantly reducing the size of our go-to-market organization," as well as "supporting teams" and other groups. After the team doubled its employee base last year, Chandrasekar told The Verge's Nilay Patel in an interview that about 45 percent of those hires were for its go-to-market sales team, which he said was "obviously the largest team."
Quizá empiecen a darse cuenta de que tener gente competente no es sólo cuestión de darles un par de cursos. Es algo que empieza desde que se nace y en lo que participa toda la sociedad y especialmente el entorno cercano de una persona. Criar ignorantes adictos no suele ser rentable, que es a lo que está orientado el sistema ahora mismo.Pero qué sabré yo.
CitarStack Overflow Cuts 28% Workforce as the AI Coding Boom ContinuesPosted by msmash on Monday October 16, 2023 @12:40PM from the how-about-that dept.Coding help forum Stack Overflow is laying off 28 percent of its staff as it struggles toward profitability. From a report:CitarCEO Prashanth Chandrasekar announced today that the company is "significantly reducing the size of our go-to-market organization," as well as "supporting teams" and other groups. After the team doubled its employee base last year, Chandrasekar told The Verge's Nilay Patel in an interview that about 45 percent of those hires were for its go-to-market sales team, which he said was "obviously the largest team."Prosus acquired Stack Overflow in a $1.8 billion deal in mid-2021.Saludos.