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Office Tower Deal for $1 Reveals Anxiety Among Longtime BuyersLargest Canadian pension takes steps to limit office exposureFund’s discounted sales may have ripple effects in the marketCanadian pension funds have been among the world’s most prolific buyers of real estate, starting a revolution that inspired retirement plans around the globe to emulate them. Now the largest of them is taking steps to limit its exposure to the most-beleaguered property type — office buildings.Canada Pension Plan Investment Board has done three deals at discounted prices, selling its interests in a pair of Vancouver towers, a business park in Southern California and a redevelopment project in Manhattan, with the New York stake offloaded for the eyebrow-raising price of just $1. The worry is those deals may set an example for other major investors seeking a way out of the turmoil too.“It’s the opposite of a vote of confidence for office,” said John Kim, an analyst tracking real estate companies for BMO Capital Markets. “My question is, who could be next?” Anxiety over office buildings has swept the financial world as the persistence of both remote work and higher borrowing costs undercuts the economic fundamentals that made the properties good investments in the first place. A wave of banks from New York to Tokyo recently conceded that loans they made against offices may never be fully repaid, sending their share prices plunging and prompting fears of a broader credit crunch. But the real test will be what price office buildings actually trade for, and there have been precious few examples since interest rates started rising. That’s why industry-watchers see discounted deals like CPPIB’s as an ominous sign for the market.Redeploying CashThe pension fund isn’t actively backing away from offices, but it’s not looking to increase its office holdings either, according to a person with knowledge of its strategy. And where a property requires additional investment, CPPIB might simply look to sell so it can put that cash somewhere it can get higher returns instead, said the person, who asked not to be identified discussing a private matter.Peter Ballon, CPPIB’s global head of real estate, declined to comment on the recent deals, but said the fund has continued to invest in office buildings, including a recently completed, 37-story tower in Vancouver.“Selling is an integral part of our investment process,” Ballon said in an emailed statement. “We exit when the asset has maximized its value and we are able to redeploy proceeds into higher and better returns in other assets, sectors and markets, including office buildings.”CPPIB’s C$590.8 billion ($436.9 billion) fund is one of the world’s largest pools of capital, and its C$41.4 billion portfolio of real estate — stretching from Stockholm to Bengaluru — includes almost every property type, from warehouses, to life sciences complexes, to apartment blocks. While that scale would mitigate any potential losses from individual transactions, it also means even a small shift in CPPIB’s office appetite has the power to cause ripple effects in the market.Manhattan TowerAt the end of last year, the fund sold its 29% stake in Manhattan’s 360 Park Avenue South for $1 to one of its partners, Boston Properties Inc., which also agreed to assume CPPIB’s share of the project’s debt. The investors, along with Singapore sovereign wealth fund GIC Pte., bought the 20-story building in 2021 with plans to redevelop it into a modern workspace.Boston Properties said last month that the selling partner — which the company didn’t name — had already spent $71 million on the project, but severing its ties released it from an obligation to commit an additional $46 million to the effort.Around the same time, CPPIB sold its 45% stake in Santa Monica Business Park, which the fund also owned with Boston Properties, for $38 million. That’s a discount of almost 75% to what CPPIB paid for its share of the property in 2018. The deal came just after the landlords signed a lease with social media company Snap Inc. that required they spend additional capital to improve the campus, Boston Properties Chief Executive Officer Owen Thomas said on a conference callThe two Vancouver towers, co-owned with another Canadian pension fund, were different in that they didn’t need substantial new investment and had Amazon.com Inc. already in place as the major tenant. But last month’s sale price of about C$300 million was down more than 20% from where the property’s value was assessed at in 2023, data from Altus Group shows.That sale coincided with the completion last year of a new office tower in Vancouver that CPPIB developed with the same pension fund, and the partners wanted to keep their overall exposure to the city’s office market from increasing, a person familiar with their thinking said.With hybrid work schedules set to depress demand for office space in the long term, and higher interest rates increasing the cost of the constant upgrades needed to attract and keep tenants, even the best office buildings may not be able to compete with investment opportunities elsewhere.“To get even better returns in your office investment you’re going to have to modernize, you’re going to have to put a lot more money into that office,” said Matt Hershey, a partner at real estate capital advisory firm Hodes Weill & Associates. “Sometimes it’s better to just take your losses and reinvest in something that’s going to perform much better.”
Cita de: tomasjos en Febrero 29, 2024, 08:36:53 amRespecto a la noticia de Macron pidiendo enviar en un futuro tropas a luchar en Ucrania y entrar en economía de guerra, permítanme en primer lugar que me ría, y en segundo lugar, esto desenmascara definitivamente a Macron como agente atlantista.Flipo con tal declaración. Como un presidente puede ser tan poco comedido en sus palabras? como puede atreverse a generar tan mal rollo?Y, realmente Rusia es una amenaza? Yo creo que no. Tiene interés en las zonas habitadas por rusos, no creo que planee nada en el resto de países europeos. Y otra pregunta. Europa cree que EE.UU dejará de lado la OTAN? Porque este llamamiento a rearmarse es que se plantean que el primo de Zumosol pase de nosotros.Los gobernantes estarán mejor informados que la población, pero todo parece muy raro. Y del Nordstream? Nadie habla?Saludos.
Respecto a la noticia de Macron pidiendo enviar en un futuro tropas a luchar en Ucrania y entrar en economía de guerra, permítanme en primer lugar que me ría, y en segundo lugar, esto desenmascara definitivamente a Macron como agente atlantista.
How the World’s Priciest Property Market StumbledHong Kong spent much of the past decade trying to keep its property prices, long the world’s least affordable, in check. Now it is trying to prop them up—and the latest slate of measures, unveiled on Wednesday, probably still won’t be enough.That is both a symbol of how entrenched the city’s economic malaise has become, and a significant fiscal problem for the government, which depends heavily on land sales.On Wednesday, Hong Kong did away with a suite of home-purchase restrictions that had been around for at least a decade. Those included a stamp duty of 15% for nonpermanent residents, and of 7.5% for people who already own a home. Selling an apartment within two years of buying used to incur an additional duty. That is now gone. The city’s de facto central bank also relaxed some lending restrictions for mortgages.Hong Kong, with its hilly geography, previously booming finance industry, and carefully controlled land supply, has long been one of the world’s most expensive housing markets. Research firm Demographia has ranked the city’s property market as the least affordable for 13 consecutive years, most recently in March last year.Median home prices were nearly 19 times median household incomes in late 2022, according to Demographia—almost twice as bad as the same ratio for San Francisco.The market, however, has taken a sharp turn for the worse recently. Housing prices have fallen 23% since 2021, according to a widely watched index from the property agent Centaline. Property transactions in both the primary and secondary market in 2023 amounted to around $50 billion, down nearly 30% from 2019.Scrapping various stamp duties may boost transactions in the near term. New residents in the city, mostly from mainland China, may have been deterred from buying apartments due to high transaction costs. Shares of the property agent Midland have surged 35% in the past couple of days.But turning around the market as a whole may be harder. Interest rates remain high because of Hong Kong’s dollar peg, which means it needs to ape Federal Reserve policy. But the economy, and the rental market, remain weak. Rental yields of around 3% are still about 1 percentage point below interest rates for new mortgages. Inventories at developers are at a record high of 25 months, according to JPMorgan. Supply in the secondary market may also increase: Sellers don’t need to hold properties for two years to avoid extra duty anymore.And a key source of speculative capital—the Chinese economy—remains sluggish. China’s property market is in its own deep slump. Meanwhile Hong Kong’s finance sector, its bread and butter, is in deep trouble. New listings in Hong Kong raised only around $6 billion last year: a nearly 90% decline from 2020. Waning global interest in Chinese equities, and Hong Kong’s uncomfortable regulatory perch—sandwiched between Chinese and U.S. regulators—may make that decline hard to reverse.Demographics aren’t favorable either. Hundreds of thousands of residents exited in the wake of political unrest, the 2020 national security law and punishing Covid-19 control measures. The population has rebounded in the past year but is still slightly lower than at the end of 2019. And the remaining population is aging quickly. Residents aged 65 or above accounted for 22.4% of the total population at the end of 2023, compared with 17.4% five years earlier.Hong Kong tried hard to keep a lid on property prices when the economy was booming. Now that the boom is over, it may find propping them up just as difficult.
Los gobernantes estarán mejor informados que la población, pero todo parece muy raro. Y del Nordstream? Nadie habla?
Nord Stream: Denmark closes investigation into pipeline blastDanish police have said they are closing their inquiry into the blasts that tore apart two pipelines intended to ship Russian gas to Germany.Authorities concluded the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines had been "sabotaged" in September 2022 - but said there was no basis for pursuing a criminal case.Responsibility for for the suspected sabotage is still unknown.Sweden closed its investigation earlier this month, citing a lack of jurisdiction.Germany is still investigating the incident.In September 2022, leaks were discovered in three of the four gas lines east of the Danish island of Bornholm in the Baltic Sea. Seismic institutes had recorded large underwater explosions just before.Soon after, Swedish prosecutors said that traces of explosives had been found on several objects recovered from the site and stated that the explosions had been due to "gross sabotage".The pipelines were built by Russia's gas giant Gazprom. Nord Stream 1 was operational from 2011 to 2022. Nord Stream 2 was completed in 2021, but never used because Germany halted the project days after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.Danish police said that the investigation, which was carried out with the Danish intelligence agency PET, had been "complicated and extensive" and said it would not provide further comment on the case.Reacting to the Danish police's statement, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "The situation is close to absurd."On the one hand, they recognise that a deliberate sabotage took place, but on the other hand they are not moving forward."An investigative report by four Nordic public broadcasters in 2023 found Russian ships to have been involved in suspicious movements in the area in the months leading up to the blasts.Moscow denies responsibility, saying the US and UK were to blame.Last year, US intelligence officials told the New York Times newspaper that a pro-Ukrainian group might have plotted the attack. The Ukrainian government has denied involvement.
Excepto en 1873, 1883, 1893 y 1973, de 1903 a 1906, de 1913 a 1916, de 1923 a 1926, de 1933 a 1936, de 1943 a 1946, de 1953 a 1956, de 1963 a 1966, de 1983 a 1986, de 1993 a 1996, de 2003 a 2006, de 2013 a 2016 los mercaos han subido y bastante
Sharapova Says to Win in Business Means Knowing How to Lose
Fed’s Preferred Inflation Metric Increases by Most in a YearCore PCE gauge climbed 0.4% in January and 2.8% from year agoSpending declined, restrained by weaker outlays for goodsThe Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation rose in January at the fastest pace in nearly a year, helping explain policymakers’ patient approach to start cutting interest rates.The so-called core personal consumption expenditures price index, which strips out the volatile food and energy components, increased 0.4% from December, data out Thursday showed. From a year ago, it advanced 2.8%. Economists consider this to be a better gauge of underlying inflation than the overall index.(...)
El nuevo límite al alquiler frenará la reforma de pisos en Barcelona: la inversión ya no se amortizaráLástima del muro de pago. Pero ya ven la "amenaza", se acabó eso de alicatar el baño para sacarle 200 o más al mes al "hactibo".
Cita de: Benzino Napaloni en Febrero 29, 2024, 18:43:59 pmEl nuevo límite al alquiler frenará la reforma de pisos en Barcelona: la inversión ya no se amortizaráLástima del muro de pago. Pero ya ven la "amenaza", se acabó eso de alicatar el baño para sacarle 200 o más al mes al "hactibo". Ahora viene la capacidad de resistir del propietariado. Alimentados están, con pensiones, sueldos públicos o privados..... veremos la capacidad de resistir al sentido común que dicta que la vivienda es un bien básico. Se imaginan la que armaría todo el mundo si la sanidad tuviera el mismo nivel especulativo? Saludos.
Cita de: copo en Febrero 29, 2024, 19:10:12 pmCita de: Benzino Napaloni en Febrero 29, 2024, 18:43:59 pmEl nuevo límite al alquiler frenará la reforma de pisos en Barcelona: la inversión ya no se amortizaráLástima del muro de pago. Pero ya ven la "amenaza", se acabó eso de alicatar el baño para sacarle 200 o más al mes al "hactibo". Ahora viene la capacidad de resistir del propietariado. Alimentados están, con pensiones, sueldos públicos o privados..... veremos la capacidad de resistir al sentido común que dicta que la vivienda es un bien básico. Se imaginan la que armaría todo el mundo si la sanidad tuviera el mismo nivel especulativo? Saludos.La diferencia con la sanidad es que tu enfermedad no implica la salud de otro. Ah, si mis hijos pudieran sanar a base de enfermar a los hijos de los demás...
- 60%...https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/El Gobierno publica el índice de precios del alquiler con ajustes medios del 60%https://www.elconfidencial.com/inmobiliario/residencial/2024-02-27/indice-precio-alquiler-tope-ministerio-vivienda_3838541/
Alquiler de Estudio en calle de Josué Lillo San Diego, Madrid590 €/mes Fianza de 1 mes 33 m² Bajo exterior sin ascensor ¡Oportunidad única! Este estudio recién pintado y en excelentes condiciones está disponible para entrar a vivir de inmediato. Ubicado en la calle Josue Lillo, en una zona muy solicitada por su excelente ubicación, este piso es perfecto para aquellos que buscan comodidad y practicidad. El salón con cocina americana es perfecto para disfrutar de una buena comida en compañía de familiares y amigos. Además, cuenta con un cuarto de baño independiente para mayor privacidad.El piso ha sido sometido a algunos arreglos en su interior, por lo que se encuentra en excelentes condiciones. Para poder alquilar este inmueble, se necesitan los DNI o NIE de al menos 3 personas, así como el contrato de trabajo de al menos 2 de ellas y las 3 últimas nóminas de estas personas. Para autónomos, se requiere la declaración de la renta, los 3 últimos trimestres y los 3 últimos pagos de cuota de autónomo, así como la vida laboral en caso de poder aportarla.Este piso es un bajo sin ascensor, lo que lo hace perfecto para aquellos que buscan un espacio cómodo y accesible. ¡No pierdas la oportunidad de vivir en este acogedor estudio en una ubicación privilegiada! El anunciante lo ve apropiado para Máximo 3 personas
Cita de: Neuromante en Febrero 27, 2024, 17:08:02 pm- 60%...https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/El Gobierno publica el índice de precios del alquiler con ajustes medios del 60%https://www.elconfidencial.com/inmobiliario/residencial/2024-02-27/indice-precio-alquiler-tope-ministerio-vivienda_3838541/¿-60%?Como me extrañaba mucho que la reacción de El Propietariado fuera tan tibia ante semejante ataque a su "medio de vida", me he dado una vuelta por idealista para comprobar eso del -60%. Primero que es complicado ir uno por uno metiendo los datos a mano; si los del ministerio publicaran esa misma información en bases de datos ya tabuladas (que las tienen) se podrían hacer estadísticas y barrer zonas para ver como está el percal. Segundo que en idealista tampoco dan toda la información necesaria para afinar la búsqueda en la web del ministerio, con lo cual solo se puede llegar a una idea aproximada.Aún así me he dado una vuelta por algunos barrios de referencia en Madrid y...Sanchinarro:Alquiler de Piso en avenida de Niceto Alcalá Zamora, 91https://www.idealista.com/inmueble/104146894/1.500 €/mes Fianza de 2 meses AV NICETO ALCALA ZAMORA 91, Esc.E 2º A, Madrid (Madrid) https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/Desde 1.120,02 € al mes Hasta 1.333,42 € al mesEnsanche carabanchelAlquiler de Piso en avenida del Euro, 27https://www.idealista.com/inmueble/103830456/830 €/mes AV EURO 27, Esc.3 1º C, Madrid (Madrid) https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/Desde 684,80 €al mes Hasta 914,09 €al mesLos marqueses de ValdebebasAlquiler de Piso en calle de César Cort Botí, 15https://www.idealista.com/inmueble/104142072/1.100 €/mes Fianza de 1 mes CL CESAR CORT BOTI 19, Esc.6 2º D, Madrid (Madrid) https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/Desde 1.091,24 €al mes Hasta 1.326,02 €al mesComo este análisis es un poco cogido con pinzas (el ministerio no ayuda mucho en el trabajo), no se pueden sacar conclusiones serias. Pero como los marqueses de Valdebebas se enteren que están alquilando sus pisitos por debajo del tope del ministerio, entonces si que se va a liar.De todo lo que he estado comprobando (no expongo todo por aquí), puede ser más o menos cercano a la realidad, pero ni de lejos se llega al -60%. en algunos casos, como en el de Valdebebas, la referencia del ministerio era mayor que el anuncio en idealista.Como mis contactos en Valladolid me han dicho que por allí está pasando lo mismo, he entrado a darme una vuelta por el mercao pucelano...Valladolid Alquiler de Piso en calle Arribes del Duero, 18https://www.idealista.com/inmueble/104165689/570 €/mes Fianza de 1 mes CL ARRIBES DEL DUERO 18, Esc.1 3º B, https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/Desde 430,81 €al mes Hasta 568,50 €al mesigual que lo que he visto en Madrid. Ninguno llegaba ni de lejos al -60%El Propietariado se ha quedado calladito porque para ellos lo importante es esto:Bono alquiler jovenhttps://www.mivau.gob.es/vivienda/bono-alquiler-jovenComo ayuda al acceso a la vivienda se ha dotado una cartera con 200 millones de euros anuales, que estará vigente en los próximos dos añosLos requisitos para su solicitud son: Renta mensual vivienda. Hasta 600€/mes.He vuelto a entrar en idealista para ver cuantas "viviendas" (por llamarlas de alguna forma) hay en alquiler en Madrid a 600 euros y:9.289 casas y pisos en alquiler en Madrid provincia 46 casas y pisos hasta 600 euros en alquiler en Madrid provincia8 casas y pisos hasta 600 euros en alquiler en MadridDe esas ocho, solo dos cumplían el requisito de tener más de 30 m2 para que la web te la acepte para calcular el precio tope. De las dos "viviendas" que cumplen el requisito, he cogido una al azar:Alquiler de Estudio en calle de Josué Lillo San Diego, Madridhttps://www.idealista.com/inmueble/104149734/590 €/mes Fianza de 1 mes 33 m² Bajo exterior sin ascensor CL JOSUE LILLO 11, Bajo B, Madrid (Madrid) https://serpavi.mivau.gob.es/Desde 417,52 €al mes Hasta 574,87 €al mesY encima con cachondeito del anunciante:CitarAlquiler de Estudio en calle de Josué Lillo San Diego, Madrid590 €/mes Fianza de 1 mes 33 m² Bajo exterior sin ascensor ¡Oportunidad única! Este estudio recién pintado y en excelentes condiciones está disponible para entrar a vivir de inmediato. Ubicado en la calle Josue Lillo, en una zona muy solicitada por su excelente ubicación, este piso es perfecto para aquellos que buscan comodidad y practicidad. El salón con cocina americana es perfecto para disfrutar de una buena comida en compañía de familiares y amigos. Además, cuenta con un cuarto de baño independiente para mayor privacidad.El piso ha sido sometido a algunos arreglos en su interior, por lo que se encuentra en excelentes condiciones. Para poder alquilar este inmueble, se necesitan los DNI o NIE de al menos 3 personas, así como el contrato de trabajo de al menos 2 de ellas y las 3 últimas nóminas de estas personas. Para autónomos, se requiere la declaración de la renta, los 3 últimos trimestres y los 3 últimos pagos de cuota de autónomo, así como la vida laboral en caso de poder aportarla.Este piso es un bajo sin ascensor, lo que lo hace perfecto para aquellos que buscan un espacio cómodo y accesible. ¡No pierdas la oportunidad de vivir en este acogedor estudio en una ubicación privilegiada! El anunciante lo ve apropiado para Máximo 3 personas(anuncio claramente dirigido a explotar inmigrantes)Todo va a quedar igual. El ministerio ha cogido los precios máximos y los ha normalizado para que lleven el sello del ministerio.Y 200 millones de euros anuales que van a ir directamente al bolsillo de El Propietariado, sin tener que bajar precios, o solo un poco.EDITO: par añadir una referencia que se me había quedado fuera.