PPCC: Pisitófilos Creditófagos. Verano 2024

[saturno]

.

Résultats quasi définitifs publiés par le ministère de l'intérieur :
https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html

Código: [Seleccionar]

Liste des nuances              Voix     % Inscrits % Exprimés  Sièges
RN Rassemblement National      9 377 183    19,01      29,25      37
UG Union de la gauche          8 974 547    18,19      27,99      32
ENS Ensemble ! (Major. présid) 6 425 568    13,02      20,04       2
LR Les Républicains            2 104 981     4,27       6,57       1
UXD Union de l'extrême droite  1 251 205     2,54       3,90       1
DVD Divers droite              1 172 541     2,38       3,66       2
DVG Divers gauche               491 069     1,00       1,53       0
DVC Divers centre               391 418     0,79       1,22       0
EXG Extrême gauche              367 165     0,74       1,15       0
REG Régionaliste                335 822     0,68       1,05       0
REC Reconquête !                239 986     0,49       0,75       0
HOR Horizons                    231 664     0,47       0,72       0
ECO Ecologistes                 181 989     0,37       0,57       0
UDI Union des Dém & Indép       163 072     0,33       0,51       0
DIV Divers                      142 890     0,29       0,45       0
DSV Droite souverainiste 90 090     0,18       0,28       0
EXD Extrême droite               59 679     0,12       0,19       1
SOC Parti socialiste             29 242     0,06       0,09       0
RDG Parti radical de gauche      12 434     0,03       0,04       0
FI La France insoumise           12 223     0,02       0,04       0
COM Parti communiste français     3 126     0,01       0,01       0
VEC Les Ecologistes               2 668     0,01       0,01       0
Moi aussi ça m'a fait sursauter, une telle différence entre les estimations à 20h et les résultats officiels. À peine un point d'écart entre RN et le NFP finalement ?
Non, le truc c'est que dans les 34% donnés pour le RN, il y avait les 3.9% des candidats LR et DLF soutenus par le RN (UXD)

Y,,,, .
Macron  se va a buscar .instrucciones

Le roi va voir son maitre ?


https://x.com/_Direct_News/status/1807464216414077275

[pollo]

https://www.eleconomista.es/empleo/noticias/12886589/06/24/el-teletrabajo-se-hunde-solo-un-19-de-la-poblacion-tiene-planeado-teletrabajar-este-verano.html

Saludos.

Todo en el mismo "periódico" (por llamar así al panfleto): "los precios de la vivienda suben y eso es genial", "España no está siendo competitiva" y "teletrabajo caca, es esencial la presencialidad para ser productivos".

[sudden and sharp]

https://www.politico.eu/article/the-dirty-little-secret-no-politician-will-admit-there-are-no-cost-less-ways-to-go-for-growth/

The dirty little secret no politician will admit: There is no way to ‘go for growth’ BY IZABELLA KAMINSKA

Everything now is just a euphemism for financial repression and austerity. That doesn’t stop politicians looking for magical alternatives.


Britain's Institute of Fiscal Studies described a "conspiracy of silence" about the reality of former Prime Minister Liz Truss's economic plan. | Leon Neal/Getty Images

Investment professionals and politicians who spurned Liz Truss's “go for growth” strategy for the British economy are slowly waking up to an uncomfortable truth.

The former U.K. Prime Minister's plan, which relied on unfunded tax cuts that were perceived to be inflationary, may have been the only growth plan for Europe's economies to escape over-indebtedness and low productivity without having to turn to austerity or greater state control of the economy. Not that any of them are prepared to admit it.

Britain's Institute of Fiscal Studies on Monday described parties' reluctance to admit as much on Monday as “a conspiracy of silence” arguing Labour's pledge to rule out tax hikes was a “mistake.” “We wish Labour had not made those tax locks and it will be difficult [politically] to break,” IFS director Paul Johnson said about the party currently leading the polls.

But it's not just British politicians who are refusing to face up to reality. In France, where an impending snap parliamentary election threatens to empower extremists on both sides of the political spectrum — to the cost of President Emmanuel Macron's centrist Renaissance party — there is a similar reluctance to admit there are only bad options on the table.

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire highlighted last week, after French bonds began to wobble, that anything short of centrism risks placing France under the supervision of Brussels and the International Monetary Fund.

What he failed to point out is that even supposedly sensible centrists face having to do the unthinkable in the longer run.

“They have to go to financial repression because high growth as a strategy out of over-indebtedness is not going to be funded by the bond market,” Russell Napier, an influential investment advisor who authors the Solid Ground newsletter, told POLITICO. “I think it doesn't matter who you vote for, you end up with roughly the same thing. So the market's not maybe saying ‘we're very sanguine about Labour [in the U.K.].’ They're just saying: ‘It doesn't really matter who you vote for. We are heading toward this route.’”

Incoming financial repression

That route, in Napier's opinion, means it's time for financial repression: putting a lid on the free movement of capital and having the government and other technocratic institutions increasingly determine which sectors benefit from public sector funding, and even more critically, from private sector funding too.

The pathway takes Europe much closer to the dirigiste policies that dominated the continent in the post-war period and away from the market-based liberalism that investors have become used to over the past four decades.

Truss's risky tax cuts had hoped to avoid a push towards state-guided credit rationing by unleashing the power of the private sector and the financial industry to stimulate such a high rate of growth that the accompanying inflation just wouldn't matter — especially if the Bank of England's interest rate policy acted in support.

But the dilemma facing France, one of the EU's largest economies, encapsulates three further political complexities: Paris does not control its own monetary policy, its public sector spending capacity is restricted by fiscal rules created in Brussels — which it is now officially in breach of — and any move to direct private sector financing domestically could clash with the bloc's greater efforts to create a single capital markets and banking union.

That doesn't leave much wiggle room for any incoming French government to experiment with a “dash for growth”, either of the free-market Truss variety, or — which is more relevant for France — the free-spending government interventionist one.

Politicization of the ECB

For Macron, the stakes are abundantly clear. In a speech to the Sorbonne University in April, he said: “We must be clear on the fact that our Europe, today, is mortal. It can die. It can die, and that depends entirely on our choices. But these choices must be made now.”

But in the same speech he, too, advocated a wholesale reordering of Europe's economic framework largely because he — like the populists on either side of him — can't afford everything he wants.

The current economic model, he said, is no longer sustainable “because we legitimately want to have everything, but it doesn’t hold together.”

Like all of the French presidents of the last 25 years, Macron has faced this constraint on domestic policymaking by trying to co-opt the one institution that has no formal constraints on creating money out of thin air — the European Central Bank. In his Sorbonne speech, he stressed that “you cannot have a monetary policy whose sole objective is to address inflation.”

The ECB's mandate can only be updated by changing the whole EU treaty, something for which Europe's leaders have no appetite. But even within its current legal straitjacket, the ECB has found plenty of ways to support national governments when it can, with a sequence of tools and programs that have allowed it to buy their bonds and keep their borrowing costs below where they would naturally have been.

It's the newest of these tools that is likely to play a key role in the next few weeks. The ECB has stopped net purchases of bonds as part of its broader policy to bring inflation down, but it has one tool — so far untested — that it can use to alleviate any market stress after the elections: the so-called Transmission Protection Instrument.

The TPI allows the ECB to buy the bonds of individual governments whose borrowing costs it considers out of step with macroeconomic fundamentals. The idea is to ensure that its single monetary policy applies reasonably equally across the whole euro area. But it creates substantial scope for the ECB to exercise financial repression on behalf of those it considers aligned with its own mission.

It implies that the ECB knows better than markets what the value of a government promise to pay is. And in not setting any ex ante limits to the scale of its interventions, it has bestowed upon itself enormous power to take on the markets if it disagrees with them strongly enough.

It's this power that Macron may want to harness if he is still able to present a budget he can call his own after July. But by the same token, he will want to ensure that the ECB denies that support to his opponents if they emerge victorious, just as it did to Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi and Greece’s Alexis Tsipras a decade ago.

According to Napier, whether the ECB ultimately decides to use the TPI or not, the decision will have political implications, not least because it will change the parameters of what the central bank is really prepared to do save the euro, and on whose behalf.

“If you think Macron is an ally of the [European] project, then you don't use it until after there's some type of chaos,” Napier said.

Many things could still change between now and July 7. The far right National Rally's Jordan Bardella, for example, has already walked back some of the party's spendiest plans, aiming to reassure markets that conflict with the EU over its fiscal rules can be avoided.

But in an interview with the FT published on Thursday, Bardella upset the bond markets again by saying he'd campaign for a big rebate from the EU budget, only hours after his ally and mentor Marine Le Pen signaled that a National Rally government would try to wrest away Macron's powers as commander-in-chief.

In other words, the threat of major market instability in July remains alive and well. And, as Napier put it: “If bond yields blow up in France they can blow up anywhere.”

Ahí va... el sueño húmedo de todo tecnócrata ladrón.





Díselo tú, cariño...












----------
Not my problem
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4rnEZ353pKQ

Don't blame your misfortunes on me
You've done this all on your own
So many others are too blind to see
Well, let me throw the first stone
You're not my problem
(Not my problem)
It's not my problem
(Not my problem)
Keep it to yourself

[Derby]

https://x.com/daveg/status/1807388422249558251

[Derby]

https://www.ft.com/content/0187827b-f755-47fd-91ff-c3e755548097

Citi was money launderers’ favourite bank, US law enforcement officials say

Alleged drug traffickers fed $36,000 into cash machines, indictment claims

Drug traffickers chose to launder money through Citigroup because they believed the bank was “more favourable”, with less robust fraud controls, according to senior US law enforcement officials.

In an indictment unsealed last week, US prosecutors detailed how two California residents, who allegedly worked with the notorious Sinaloa cartel, deposited tens of thousands of dollars at Citi ATMs.

On at least three separate occasions in January 2021, they allegedly fed a total of almost $36,000 in illicit cash into the machines, a few hundred dollars at a time, waiting just a minute or two between each transaction.

By splitting the sum into dozens of smaller deposits, prosecutors claim, they stayed below the $10,000 threshold at which banks are required to report cash transactions to the US Treasury.

Drug Enforcement Administration officials told the Financial Times that the duo, alleged to be part of a vast criminal network that cleaned at least $50mn in fentanyl and meth proceeds in the US, scoped out several banks before choosing Citi.

One senior official said: “There are banks that pay less attention than others.”

A second senior DEA official said: “I will name one [bank]. There were two instances where in this investigation we had money couriers making 24 back-to-back deposits totalling $16,000 to a Citibank ATM . . . There were 15 back-to-back deposits totalling $20,000 also to a Citibank ATM . . . They figure out the places that are more favourable to them.”

While there were no reporting requirements for the individual transactions, the pattern of the deposits should have aroused suspicion, the DEA official said.

The two men — Guillermo Zambrano and Luis Belandria-Contreras — “were definitely trying to keep [the deposits] below the threshold so as not to send up any red flags, but I would imagine that 24 back-to-back deposits by the same person, totalling $16,000 would set off some type of an alert”, the senior official added.

A lawyer for Belandria-Contreras did not respond to a request for comment. A lawyer for Zambrano, John Targowski, said his client engaged in the alleged acts only because he was in debt and threatened with kidnapping by a cartel member, and that he intended to “pursue a duress defence”. Both have pleaded not guilty.

Citi declined to comment on the specific case, citing secrecy requirements around transaction reporting. The bank said it had “robust anti-money laundering policies”, adding: “When we find evidence of such activity, we notify the authorities as required and fully co-operate with any investigation through appropriate legal processes.”

The indictment also details how another defendant, Jiayong Yu, allegedly deposited a cashier’s cheque at a JPMorgan Chase ATM, and “approximately $100,000 of United States currency at a Chase Bank teller window” last year. There was no suggestion that Chase failed to flag the transaction. Chase declined to comment. Yu has pleaded not guilty to related charges. His lawyer did not respond to a request for comment.

Law enforcement officials have for years warned that Mexican drug traffickers and Chinese accomplices have become ever more adept at laundering cash via the legitimate banking system.

“We’re seeing a huge uptick in money, cash being deposited in banks and then wired wherever,” the first senior DEA official said. They added that tens of thousands of dollars were being sent back to China each month via money transfer institutions in Flushing, New York.

In 2012, the Department of Justice fined HSBC $1.9bn for failing to prevent money laundering by cartels in Mexico, after an investigation found that hundreds of thousands of dollars were being deposited with the bank each day through teller windows at HSBC Mexico branches.

Prosecutors said drug traffickers even “designed specially shaped boxes that fit the precise dimensions of the teller windows”.

Money-laundering schemes have since become much more sophisticated, through a mutually beneficial arrangement with Chinese nationals in the US who use encrypted apps, cryptocurrency and mirror transactions in underground Chinese banks to hide their tracks.

“The cartels are desperate to get cash made from the sale of drugs in the United States back down to Mexico,” said Martin Estrada, the US attorney for the Central District of California, last month.

“The Chinese money-laundering groups, on the other hand, are in the business of helping wealthy Chinese nationals obtain cash in this country and thereby circumvent export controls in China on the movement of cash.” Thanks to the explosion in fentanyl trafficking, this results in “virtually limitless supplies of cash”, Estrada added.

Tracking such transactions has been difficult for law enforcement. “The growth and the expansion of this,” the first senior DEA official said, “has gone past what law enforcement track and monitor”.

[Neuromante]

De la Torre pide una reflexión de todas las administraciones y el sector privado sobre la vivienda


https://www.diariosur.es/malaga/alcalde-malaga-problema-vivienda-reflexion-20240630231703-nt.html

Al margen del tradicional pasarse la pelota los unos a los otros, lo que me parece más significativo es que Sur ofrezca este contenido en abierto. Da la sensación –si las sensaciones valen para algo– de que se ha oficializado por parte de los CCGG del Capitalismo que la vivienda es un problema o, mejor dicho, el problema.

[pollo]

De la Torre pide una reflexión de todas las administraciones y el sector privado sobre la vivienda


https://www.diariosur.es/malaga/alcalde-malaga-problema-vivienda-reflexion-20240630231703-nt.html

Al margen del tradicional pasarse la pelota los unos a los otros, lo que me parece más significativo es que Sur ofrezca este contenido en abierto. Da la sensación –si las sensaciones valen para algo– de que se ha oficializado por parte de los CCGG del Capitalismo que la vivienda es un problema o, mejor dicho, el problema.

Y las propuestas siguen siendo tímidas, con toneladas de condicionantes como declaraciones de "zonas tensionadas" (asqueroso eufemismo) para asegurarse de que no pierden el control del cotarro y no pierden demasiados votos.

Luego que si viene la ultraderecha y demás mierdas. Es lo normal dada la pusilanimidad de todos los políticos que sólo se dedican a marear la perdiz.

A ver si alguien tiene huevos a abrir la veda de verdad (como lo del otro día de Barcelona, pero en serio).

[cujo]

Se está liando parda en Francia, y nunca mejor dicho.

Los grandes culpables del alza del pardismo en europa son los partidos de izquierda con sus políticas alejadas del trabajador y dedicados a luchar por cosas anecdóticas alejadas del día a día del trabajador q madruga y sus familias .
Espero q ardan en el infierno por esta deriva estupida que ha dejado huérfano al trabajador de a pie

[Raf909]

https://www.eleconomista.es/empleo/noticias/12886589/06/24/el-teletrabajo-se-hunde-solo-un-19-de-la-poblacion-tiene-planeado-teletrabajar-este-verano.html

Saludos.

Todo en el mismo "periódico" (por llamar así al panfleto): "los precios de la vivienda suben y eso es genial", "España no está siendo competitiva" y "teletrabajo caca, es esencial la presencialidad para ser productivos".

Buff... yo no sé si estáis buscando trabajo últimamente o que , pero la cosa está muy mal en cuanto al teletrabajo.
Conozco un caso de cerca (trabajo de oficina, administrativo) que está buscando cambiar de trabajo en la zona de Barcelona, y el tema es vergonzoso. Desde totalmente presencial, hasta "híbrido" (1 o 2 días desde casa sólo). En su actual empresa, desde el COVID, para conciliar debajan hacer teletrabajo en Agosto... pues este año NO.
Y si tienes algún tema personal (como niño enfermo y trabajas desde casa) tienes que "devolver" el día de oficina, aunque eso signifique ir otro día donde la oficina estará vacía de tus compañeros de departamento.

Luego las empresas se preguntan porqué los jóvenes les hacen la peineta. Ninis los llaman...

[Negrule]

Mucho hablar del tema pero con la boca pequeña. Se han puesto todos los huevos en el modelo que se empezó a diseñar después de la última crisis, acentuándose después de la pandemia, y donde la vivienda en todas sus versiones es el pilar central. Creo que irá a más hasta su explosión final, cuando? Quien sabe

De la Torre pide una reflexión de todas las administraciones y el sector privado sobre la vivienda


https://www.diariosur.es/malaga/alcalde-malaga-problema-vivienda-reflexion-20240630231703-nt.html

Al margen del tradicional pasarse la pelota los unos a los otros, lo que me parece más significativo es que Sur ofrezca este contenido en abierto. Da la sensación –si las sensaciones valen para algo– de que se ha oficializado por parte de los CCGG del Capitalismo que la vivienda es un problema o, mejor dicho, el problema.

Y las propuestas siguen siendo tímidas, con toneladas de condicionantes como declaraciones de "zonas tensionadas" (asqueroso eufemismo) para asegurarse de que no pierden el control del cotarro y no pierden demasiados votos.

Luego que si viene la ultraderecha y demás mierdas. Es lo normal dada la pusilanimidad de todos los políticos que sólo se dedican a marear la perdiz.

A ver si alguien tiene huevos a abrir la veda de verdad (como lo del otro día de Barcelona, pero en serio).

[sudden and sharp]

Se está liando parda en Francia, y nunca mejor dicho.

Los grandes culpables del alza del pardismo en europa son los partidos de izquierda con sus políticas alejadas del trabajador y dedicados a luchar por cosas anecdóticas alejadas del día a día del trabajador q madruga y sus familias .
Espero q ardan en el infierno por esta deriva estupida que ha dejado huérfano al trabajador de a pie

Sí, pero si (sin acento) aceptas qué es la izquierda... según los media. Piensa mejor en izquierda por los sindicatos... Pon todos los filtros que consideres... necesarios.   

[newclo]

https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1807707802959335487

[R.G.C.I.M.]

Parece que ayer Rusia ganó la paz en Francia. Y la semana pasada en la tele de USA.


Aunque seguro que nos dicen que hemos ganado nosotros.
Y qué más da...


La fiesta se ha acabado en Ucrania, pero empieza aquí, parece.
El caso es que me gusta.

Sds

Los anglos se retiran de ucrania.
Francia como representante del poder e independencia europeos, parece que ya no enviará tropas porque su republicana población ha dicho que nanai.

Así que se va a USA a ver cómo cerramos el capítulo entre todos dignamente.

Como era aquello?
Tó pa ná!

[Raf909]

Se está liando parda en Francia, y nunca mejor dicho.

Los grandes culpables del alza del pardismo en europa son los partidos de izquierda con sus políticas alejadas del trabajador y dedicados a luchar por cosas anecdóticas alejadas del día a día del trabajador q madruga y sus familias .
Espero q ardan en el infierno por esta deriva estupida que ha dejado huérfano al trabajador de a pie

Sí, pero si (sin acento) aceptas qué es la izquierda... según los media. Piensa mejor en izquierda por los sindicatos... Pon todos los filtros que consideres... necesarios.   

Entre todos la mataron y ella sóla se murió.

En Europa, ya sea por el wokismo de la izquierda, o por la caspa de la derecha las soluciones todas han ido en la misma dirección (con ligerísimos matices). Las política con la vivienda y la inmigración ha sido la misma, pero con diferentes caretas. Todos se han remangado para que entre immigración barata con la que poder contener salarios, y todos se han esforzado en tener vivienda escasa y cara (y especular con ella, ya sea por acción o por omisión).

Continuemos peleandonos por tonterías como izquierda/derecha, lo que tiene cada uno entre las piernas, el color de la piel o el lugar de nacimiento... así los culpables podrán escurrir el bulto. Una vez más.... una generación más.

[R.G.C.I.M.]

Yo me estoy partiendo la caja.
Manis!!
QUEREMOS MANIS!!!
Y LIKES!!!!!



🤣😂🤣😂