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[¿Hay algún modo bajarse, con unos pocos clics y en un solo PDF o .docx, todo un hilo del blog? Por ejemplo, las 179 páginas de «PPCC: Pisitófilos Creditófagos. Otoño 2024».]
(...) Si no pueden ganar en el juego, al menos dejan de participar en él.
Cita de: Benzino Napaloni en Enero 08, 2025, 13:53:18 pm (...) Si no pueden ganar en el juego, al menos dejan de participar en él.A esto hace referencia Jordan Peterson en algunos de sus vídeos, explicando que en los experimentos actuales se evidencia que, si los ratones más débiles que juegan con ratones más fuertes no ganan en, al menos un 30% de las ocasiones, dejan de jugar. Resulta también interesante ver como tira de estos datos para preguntarse si esto equivale a algo como un fundamento natural o biológico para algo así como el bien natural, lo justo universalmente, etc
En imprimir, al lado de responder, notificar....enviar tema, se abre otra ventana con todo el hilo, en esa ventana botón derecho "imprimir" y save as pdf. No guarda imágenes pero sí su dirección.Para todos los mensajes de una persona, no veo la opción, pero obtener el texto sí se puede con web scraping (y seguramente todo lo demás).Esto lo he hecho con los mensajes de Asustadísimos y lo he pasado por el notebook, igual que lo hice con el hilo de Chosen (si el hilo se puede imprimir, pues más fácil, si no habría que utilizar otros métodos). Igual se puede de otra forma más directa o incluso con una aplicación para navegadores.
> wget 'https://www.transicionestructural.net/index.php?action=printpage;topic=2611.0'# Esto es lo mismo que lo de usar "Imprimir"... que decía senslev# ... pero lo bueno viene ahora:#> cp 'https://www.transicionestructural.net/index.php?action=printpage;topic=2611.0' otoño.html# Renombra el archivo (4,4MB) a algo más manejable: otoño.html#> wget --page-requisites --input-file= otoño.html#... y te baja muchas más cosas.
Cita de: Frommer en Enero 08, 2025, 14:44:39 pmCita de: Benzino Napaloni en Enero 08, 2025, 13:53:18 pm (...) Si no pueden ganar en el juego, al menos dejan de participar en él.A esto hace referencia Jordan Peterson en algunos de sus vídeos, explicando que en los experimentos actuales se evidencia que, si los ratones más débiles que juegan con ratones más fuertes no ganan en, al menos un 30% de las ocasiones, dejan de jugar. Resulta también interesante ver como tira de estos datos para preguntarse si esto equivale a algo como un fundamento natural o biológico para algo así como el bien natural, lo justo universalmente, etcCorrecto, porque todos lo llevamos en los genes. Si de alguna manera el organismo percibe que no está en condiciones de desarrollo favorables, tira hacia la pasividad o incluso la autodestrucción.De ahí viene la expresión "ser un oso mal lamido". Los lametones de la osa a los oseznos es mucho más que limpieza, es la forma en la que los oseznos perciben a un nivel muy primario que están bien atendidos -o no-.Incluso en las sociedades más duras se sabe desde hace milenios que hasta el plebeyo más bajo tiene que poder acceder a un mínimo. Faltar a eso es pegarse un tiro al pie, aunque no sea a corto plazo.Las matemáticas son imprescindibles en esta vida, pero hay cosas incluso más básicas que no necesitan números para analizarse, porque son ideas cualitativas.
Landlords are accused of colluding to raise rents. See where.Millions of rents across the United States may now be set using one company’s algorithmic software, according to a federal lawsuit and a Washington Post analysis.RealPage, a property management software company, uses a trove of data to suggest rental prices to landlords. The software has been widely adopted by property managers — and is now facing strenuous legal pushback.Over the past three years, the company has been sued by the federal government, which alleged in August that it unlawfully decreases competition among landlords; by several individuals; and by the governments of Arizona and D.C., which have accused RealPage and dozens of property management companies of colluding to raise prices.On Tuesday, the Justice Department expanded its suit to sue six large landlords, which it says operate in 43 states and D.C.To assess how widespread use of RealPage’s rent software may be, The Post identified 3.1 million market-rate rental units managed by companies named in the lawsuits. That analysis found 10 counties where more than 1 in 3 multifamily units are managed by a property company allegedly using a rent-setting program from RealPage.(...)RealPage has asked a federal judge to dismiss the Justice Department’s case, arguing that it is not a monopoly. In a statement, the company said the D.C. and Arizona suits rely on “glaringly obvious false allegations.” In a lengthy defense on its website, RealPage says one of its revenue management softwares, LRO, has separate databases than the other two, YieldStar and AIRM, and does not use “competitor nonpublic lease pricing data” to recommend rents.RealPage also acknowledges the nation’s housing affordability challenges but says its revenue management software benefits tenants as well as landlords by allowing people to choose between lease lengths.For Weiss, however, the allegations against RealPage are part of troubling trends in the rental market, including the unprecedented accumulation of rental units by opaque management companies and highly localized housing laws that struggle to protect tenants.“It all leads to power imbalances between landlords and tenants,” Weiss said.
Bond market selloff alarms global investors as 'tantrum' loomsLONDON/NEW YORK, Jan 8 (Reuters) - A sharp selloff in some of the world's biggest government bond markets and a continued rise in the dollar sent shockwaves through financial markets, with the pain seen deepening as uncertainty grows over U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's policies.On Wednesday, the 10-year Treasury yield , underpinning trillions of dollars in daily global transactions, jumped to above 4.7%, their highest since April, and UK peers hit their highest since 2008 , .This unleashed a fresh wave of selling in currencies against the greenback, including sterling , which slid more than 1% before slightly recovering, and the euro , which was headed closer toward the $1 mark.The S&P 500, which rallied post Trump's win, has recently started to falter, although it has clawed back some of those losses.Trump, in a press conference at Mar-a-Lago on Tuesday, decried high U.S. interest rates despite the Federal Reserve in the midst of an easing cycle."Inflation is continuing to rage, and interest rates are far too high," the president-elect said.Central banks all but declared victory over inflation in 2024, but a number of metrics show price pressures are rising again.Trump's plans for higher trade tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation threaten to push up inflation and strain government finances, thereby also limiting the Federal Reserve's scope to cut interest rates."The bond market sure feels like it has lost confidence in the Fed and Treasury," said Byron Anderson, head of fixed income at Laffer Tengler Investments in Scottsdale, Arizona."The short sellers are now the captain of this boat and there is plenty of pressure on this market. We are starting to see sloppy Treasury auctions with tails everywhere on the curve," he added.U.S. auctions of three-year and 10-year notes this week were underwhelming, pricing in higher than the expected rate at the bid deadline, reflecting weak demand. This suggested that investors sought a premium to buy the Treasury notes.SUPPLY WAVEOther governments are busy repairing their own finances and shoring up their economies, while ramping up bond sales.Long-dated yields, which tend to be less susceptible to short-term swings in expectations for monetary policy, have hit multi-year highs globally, partly because of the tidal wave of new bonds this year.Laffer Tengler's Anderson cited about $14.6 trillion of Treasury debt maturing over the next two years, which means there is a lot of debt to extend beyond one year.Traders say the incoming Trump administration will need to change the current focus on relying more on short-term debt.Thirty-year Treasury bond yields have risen 60 basis points in a month - the largest such increase since October 2023. They are now perilously close to 5%, a level rarely seen in the past two decades.This has pushed the premium of 30-year yields to two-year yields to its highest in nearly three years - a dynamic known as "curve steepening"."There's a big pipeline of bonds that needs to be sold, so that gives you a steeper curve as well as a higher term premium in longer bonds. I think that's one of the main drivers," said Danske Bank chief analyst Jens Peter Soerensen.UK 30-year gilt yields have hit their highest since 1998 to around 5.4%, adding to worries about the impact of higher borrowing costs on the British government's already shaky finances.
A looming 'demographic cliff': Fewer college students and ultimately fewer graduates(...)Ripple effects through the economyThe likely closing of more colleges is by itself a threat to the economy. Nearly 4 million people work in higher education, the NCES reports. Though the most imperiled colleges tend to be small, every one that closes translates to, on average, a loss of 265 jobs and $67 million a year in economic impact, according to the economic software and analysis company Implan.While the falloff in the number of 18-year-olds has been largely discussed in terms of its effects on colleges and students, the implications are much broader, however."In an economy that depends on skilled labor, we're falling short," says Catharine Bond Hill, an economist, a former president of Vassar College and the managing director of the higher education consulting firm Ithaka S+R.She points out that, based on NCES data, the United States has fallen to ninth among developed nations in the proportion of its 25-to-64-year-old population with any postsecondary degree."We should be aiming for No. 1, and we're not," she says.The diminishing supply of young people will contribute to "a massive labor shortage," with an estimated 6 million fewer workers in 2032 than jobs needing to be filled, according to the labor market analytics firm Lightcast.Not all of those jobs will call for a college education. But many will. Forty-three percent of them will require at least a bachelor's degree by 2031, according to the Georgetown center. That means more jobs will demand some kind of postsecondary credentials than Americans are now projected to earn.Still-unpublished research underway at Georgetown forecasts major shortages in teaching, health care and other fields, as well as some level of skills shortfalls in 151 occupations, Strohl says."If we don't keep our edge in innovation and college-level education," he says, "we'll have a decline in the economy and ultimately a decline in the living standard."A scarcity of labor is already complicating efforts to expand the U.S. semiconductor industry, for instance, the consulting firm McKinsey & Company warns. It's a major reason that production at a new $40 billion semiconductor processing facility in Arizona has been delayed, according to its parent company.A worker shortage of the magnitude projected for the coming one hasn't happened since the years immediately after World War II, when the number of young men was reduced by death and disability, Strohl and others say. And this worker shortage coincides with a wave of retirements among experienced and well-educated baby boomers.(...)
cambio de tendenciaEl teletrabajo hunde los precios de la vivienda en el corazón de LondresEl histórico distrito financiero de la capital británica no muestra signos de recuperación a corto plazo(...)Los precios de venta cayeron más de un 10% en 2024. Para contextualizar, los precios en el centro de Londres también han caído en el último año, pero en un 2,5% mucho más modesto.(...)Lo que esto supone para Brewer es que, incluso si alcanza el precio que pide, se irá sin apenas beneficios tras una década de propiedad ( )(...)Los inversores, por su parte, se han visto disuadidos tanto por la caída de los precios como por una serie de cambios en el código fiscal relacionado con las propiedades de alquiler. "Los costes de ser propietario son mucho más elevados", afirma Graham. Otros problemas que afectan no solo a La City, sino a todo el Reino Unido, son la subida de los tipos de interés, la incertidumbre política provocada por las elecciones británicas de principios de año y la inestabilidad mundial. "Ahora es un mercado de compradores", afirma Graham. "Cuando yo empecé, podías literalmente poner una propiedad en el mercado un viernes, reservar 10 visitas durante el fin de semana y acordar la venta el lunes. Entonces había cinco compradores peleándose por una propiedad. Ahora es al revés. Hay cinco propiedades por cada comprador, y una propiedad solo se vende si tiene un precio razonable".(...)